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15.04.2026
widened for many indicators. These include CPI inflation, unemployment rate, exports, imports, trade balance and oil price.
• Inflation: Analysts have raised their forecasts for 2026
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policy to ensure consistently low inflation.
More details are available in the new issue of the information and analytical commentary Inflation in Russia.
Preview photo:
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the capacity utilisation rate remained significantly above the 2017–2019 level, when inflation was low.
Further details are available in the April issue of the
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the Bank of Russia
CPI seasonal adjustment specifications (2026)
Trend inflation estimates and modified core inflation
Seasonally adjusted dynamics of consumer price growth
Dynamics of
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2025, assets of the Russian financial sector increased almost 3.5-fold, outpacing inflation. Non-bank financial institutions (NFIs) recorded faster growth compared to banks, with the
decline in underlying
inflation. Some participants argued that anchoring inflation expectations at a
lower level might require a period of underlying inflation running below 4
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underlying inflation has decelerated.
• Persistently elevated inflation expectations may impede a sustainable return of inflation to the target. In 2025 H2, measures of underlying inflation
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to balanced growth, the role of macroeconomic policy, the importance of low inflation, and how volatile external conditions may affect the economy.
The second plenary
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Money and bond market rates declined in March. However, inflation expectations of households and businesses remained elevated, and therefore real interest rates
possible when inflation is low)
Solution: The Bank of Russia preserves the purchasing power of the ruble by ensuring
low and predictable inflation
Objectives: Foster