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211
10.10.2023
inflation expectations of Russian households
Vadim Grishchenko, Diana Gasanova, Egor Fomin and Grigory Korenyak
A multitude of recent research shows that the rationality of inflation
between inflation expectations and a number of
socio-demographic characteristics, macroeconomics variables (including lagged inflation and the
inflation target), economic news, or visible prices.
When inflation
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Inflation expected in one year Inflation expected in five years Observed inflation Annual inflation
Sources: InFOM, Rosstat.
DISTRIBUTION OF
214
26.09.2023
Inflation expectations continue to grow
26 September 2023
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In September, estimated inflation expected by households in one year went up
2023 H1, rather than the current situation with
price changes.
INFLATION, CORE INFLATION, AND UNDERLYING INFLATION Chart 1
63х170
(% GROWTH YOY)
20 2.0
18
216
19.09.2023
Annual inflation accelerates in most regions in August
19 September 2023
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Annual inflation accelerated mainly on the back of a
217
05.09.2023
Talking Trends: persistent acceleration of inflation
5 September 2023
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Aggregate demand in the economy continued to increase in July—August,
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Inflation expected in one year Inflation expected in five years Observed inflation Annual inflation
Sources: InFOM, Rosstat.
DISTRIBUTION OF
219
23.08.2023
Inflation expectations increase
23 August 2023
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According to the inFOM's survey, inflation expectations of households for the year ahead
to December 2022 reduced
annual inflation by 0.3 pp in July 2023 month-on-month.
INFLATION, CORE INFLATION, AND UNDERLYING INFLATION Chart 1
(% GROWTH, YOY)
20