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an account with an annual interest rate of 8%,
while the annual inflation was 10%. Do you think that you can now buy more, less,
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31.07.2023
formation of long-term interest rates in the economy and the role of inflation expectations in this process (Box 1). The analysis of the fiscal policy
FD FD
FD FD
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2023 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY May23 2.5 3.0 2.
2023
Average core inflation indicators
CPI
Mobile phones Televisions Median (566 items in 2023)
Refrigerators Washing machines Trend inflation
Computers (right scale) Inflation target
Sources:
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21.07.2023
2023, is gaining momentum.
Inflation expectations of households and businesses remain elevated. Moreover, inflation expectations of households increased in July. Analysts’ inflation expectations for 2023
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21.07.2023
2023, is gaining momentum.
Inflation expectations of households and businesses remain elevated. Moreover, inflation expectations of households increased in July. Analysts’ inflation expectations for 2023
2024 2025 2026
(actual)
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 11.9 5.0-6.5 4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the year,
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21.07.2023
borrowers alike are determined by the level of inflation and inflation expectations. High inflation accompanied by unanchored inflation expectations suggests a high key rate and
Through any of these channels, higher
inflation. This mechanism is based on interest market rates constrain demand and inflation,
rates and yields in the key
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly