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741
03.02.2026
Talking Trends: early in the year, price growth accelerates temporarily
3 February 2026
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In 2025, full-year inflation hit a record
the
inflation slowdown and the dynamics of inflation expectations. According to the Bank of Russia’s
forecast, given the monetary policy stance, annual inflation will
743
20.01.2026
money and bond markets were mainly declining in December. Household and business inflation expectations were still increasing, while market expectations were decreasing.
Interest rates on
744
19.01.2026
period, inflation expectations generally increased. A considerable rise was observed in businesses’ price expectations, while households’ inflation expectations went up less notably. Analysts’ inflation estimates
period, inflation expectations generally increased. A considerable
rise was observed in businesses’ price expectations, while households’
inflation expectations went up less notably. Analysts’ inflation estimates
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
services inflation is higher than goods inflation (Ferrara, 2019). This work will attempt
to model the different dynamics of inflation trends. Thus, the inflation trends
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16.01.2026
aggregate demand and inflation. It is shown that the slope of the Phillips curve becomes significantly steeper, i.e., the sensitivity of inflation to economic
explain interest rates. Relatedly, exp increases. This shifts
weight to shorter-term inflation expectations. Shorter-term inflation is more volatile. The model
compensates for lower data volatility.
period. It is one of the most important indicators that
describes the inflation processes in economy.
Economically active population – persons at the age of 15