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of high and volatile inflation, banks price in an elevated
inflation premium when setting loan rates, whereas low and stable inflation reduces risks to banks.
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30.09.2026
quantitative inflation target
• The target is an annual inflation rate of close to 4%. The target is effective on a permanent basis.
• The inflation rate
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29.09.2026
of inflation and inflation expectations as well as the analysis of risks posed by domestic and external conditions. Given the monetary policy stance, annual inflation
of inflation
and inflation expectations as well as the analysis of risks posed by domestic
and external conditions. Given the monetary policy stance, annual inflation
55
25.09.2026
market inflation expectations
Financial market inflation expectations are a critical factor to be taken into account when analysing the effectiveness of monetary policy and inflation
INFLATION BY GROUP OF GOODS AND SERVICES
(PP)............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. Table 8
Fruit and Inflation over Non-core
Food products Non-food goods Services Core inflation
vegetables period, % inflation
Kumar, S., Coibion, O., Afrouzi, H., и Gorodnichenko, Y. (2015). Inflation targeting does not anchor
inflation expectations: Evidence from firms in New Zealand. Brookings Papers
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03.09.2026
provide they mean inflation expectations, but also the relative probabilities (ranks) of inflation tail values. For respondents’ convenience, answers are structured by inflation value buckets
2026
Expected inflation (one year) Expected inflation (one year), three-month average Expected inflation (five years)
Observed inflation Observed inflation, three-month average Annual inflation
Sources: InFOM,
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26.08.2026
to InFOM’s survey, one-year-ahead inflation expectations of households were 13.7% in August compared to 14.7% in July. Inflation expectations declined among respondents