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2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Expected inflation Observed inflation Annual inflation Sources: InFOM, Rosstat. 2 For details on inflation in January, refer to the information

Inflation Core inflation Underlying inflation Three-month price average growth (SA, right-hand scale) Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. Indicators of sustainable price movements Annual inflation

Inflation expectations remain elevated 27 February 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In February 2023, households’ inflation expectations for the year ahead edged up, remaining

inflation in Russian regions varies from 6.6% to 18.1% in January 20 February 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram The minimum annual inflation

inflation -4,2700 <0,01 Figures 14-19. Residuals 1.) Lasso а) inflation expectations b) perceived inflation 2.) Random Forest а) inflation expectations b) perceived inflation

Effects of the fiscal rule and model assumptions on the response of inflation in the aftermath of a terms-of-trade shock M. Andreyev Does a stabilisation

April 2018 for implied inflation. ** The average of the percentiles of households’ inflation expectations (total), companies’ price expectations (economy, overall); implied inflation for OFZ-IN until

Inflation expectations remain elevated 31 January 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In January 2023, household inflation expectations declined yet remained at an elevated level.

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Inflation, MoM (SA, right-hand scale) Inflation Core inflation Underlying inflation Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. 1

Inflation in Russian regions changes diversely in December 23 January 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram Annual inflation slowed down in 39 of 89 Russian