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trend in inflation expectations of economic agents ing the considerable increase in the cost of borrow-
to bring them down to the inflation target. ing
Cambridge, MA and London: MIT Press,
1987.
4. Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation. Is Russia different? // IMF Country Report,
Russia. 2015. August. No. 15/212.
of inflation in these periods. This, for all the
growth in inflation expectations, was not the case in 2014, subsequently helping slow down
inflation (consequentially,
CONTENTS ___________________________________________________________ 2
1.1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 3
1.1.1. In August, inflation demonstrated a significant slowdown ______________________ 3
1.1.2. Underlying inflation slowed down yet
year-on-year inflation consistently
above 4% throughout the first half of 2018 and also cause second-round effects via rising
inflation expectations.
1.1.1. Inflation in
1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.1. Seasonally adjusted price growth accelerated, but stayed within the forecast range
of inflation. _______________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.2. Underlying inflation
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2017.
Moderately tight monetary policy will create the necessary conditions for anchoring inflation at about 4% and will not hamper further economic growth. The Bank
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27.10.2017
recognised the following factors.
Inflation dynamics. Annual inflation holds close to 4%. Estimates as of 23 October 2017 indicate that annual inflation is 2.7
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May 2017. The share of people who correctly understand the notions of ‘inflation’ and ‘risk diversification’ remained practically unchanged, at 37% and 25.6% respectively.
means its average volume of assets for the past year, adjusted for inflation for the purpose of
interannual comparisons.
Working Paper Series EFFECT OF BANKING