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growth comes together with the shrinkage in
GDP growth or rise in inflation. They base their findings on 2000-2012 data for four Asian economies.
As
1442
11.11.2020
efforts to mitigate the impact of the pandemic have influenced lending and inflation. Since February, when the first signs of coronavirus spreading outside China manifested
1443
11.11.2020
Inflationary pressure close to 4%
11 November 2020
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In October, annual inflation reached 4.0%. This was because monthly price
negative tors. These include, first of all, a favourable
INFLATION, CORE INFLATION, AND AVERAGE ANNUAL INFLATION* Chart 6
(GROWTH AS A PERCENTAGE OF CORRESPONDING MONTH
Instruments are Inflation 4.3% Inflation 3.0% Inflation 3.7%
Inflation targeting is “Floating rate and
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting by
Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20
Truncation method
Overall inflation Food Non-food Excluding the most volatile components
CPI
Services Inflation target Inflation target
Source: Rosstat, R&F Department
adjusted, %
Line – annual inflation, % (rhs); thin line – 3MMA SAAR
Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia’s estimates
7
Inflation expectations – households
Sep Oct Inflation observed and
1448
23.10.2020
by domestic and external conditions and the reaction of financial markets.
Inflation dynamics. Inflation is developing in line with the Bank of Russia’s forecast
1449
23.10.2020
factors we considered today.
Firstly, inflation processes are generally evolving in line with our baseline scenario. We forecast that inflation will come in at 3.
2020 2021 2022 2023
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 3.0 3.9-4.2 3.5-4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the