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1021
18.09.2023
their value remained high.
Annual inflation will continue to rise in the coming months. According to the forecast, annual inflation will be 6.0–7.
1022
15.09.2023
elevated inflation expectations that are reducing the tightness of monetary conditions. Borrowers compare credit rates with their inflation expectations. Those assuming that high inflation will
2024 2025 2026
(actual)
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 11.9 6.0-7.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the year,
1024
15.09.2023
annual inflation will return to 4% in 2024 and stay close to 4% further on.
Inflation movements. As estimated as of 11 September, annual inflation
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
1026
08.09.2023
loans and deposits rose. This was indicative of tighter monetary conditions.
Rising inflation expectations of households and businesses and narrower credit spreads had an easing
relations, the contraction of supply of a range of
INFLATION, CORE INFLATION, AND AVERAGE ANNUAL INFLATION* Chart 7
(GROWTH AS A PERCENTAGE OF CORRESPONDING MONTH
channels, higher
policy influences demand and, accordingly, market rates constrain demand and inflation,
inflation. This mechanism is based on interest while lower ones stimulate them.
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
non-core components.
Inflation of petroleum products:
.
Inflation of administered services (the same for volatile components):
.
• Headline inflation index:
where is core inflation (model inflation of