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941
23.12.2024
K. Styrin
This paper studies how the effect of macroeconomic shocks on inflation depends on the severity of restrictions on international borrowing and imports. Using
inflation indicators
Trend inflation
Decline / slow growth (less than 3% SAAR)
CPI
Median (566 items in 2024) Growth close to target (3–5% SAAR)
Inflation
943
20.12.2024
16 December, annual inflation went up to 9.5%.
Inflation expectations continue to rise, increasing the inertia of underlying inflation. Household inflation expectations and business
higher market rates constrain demand and inflation, while lower ones
stimulate them. In addition to monetary policy and demand, inflation and financial market trends are
945
20.12.2024
16 December, annual inflation went up to 9.5%.
Inflation expectations continue to rise, increasing the inertia of underlying inflation. Household inflation expectations and business
946
20.12.2024
been translating into current inflation, primarily its underlying components.
Inflation expectations continue to exert additional pressure on prices. Households’ and businesses’ inflation expectations are largely
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
for inflation to continue easing in the coming months.
Another exception is Egypt, where annual inflation remains at double-digit levels since 2022.
Egypt’s inflation
949
29.11.2024
being tested, although in the absence of the necessary measures to reduce inflation, financial stability risks in general would have been much greater. Despite a
950
29.11.2024
in a new development face losses due to this price disparity. As inflation slows and the key rate declines, market mortgage programmes will become more