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of households
6
APPENDIX 2
Dependent variables I: Optimistic and Confident (OC)
– inflation expectations
inf_expectations1= response К74.
Difficult to answer and refusal = NA
inf
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literacy improves, the perception of macroeconomic trends, such as estimates of past inflation, ruble exchange rate movements and deposit rates, becomes more accurate. The relationship
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
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July, when inflation was noticeably pushed up by the indexation of utility rates. However, numerous measures of underlying inflation rose month-on-month. Annual inflation remained almost
8–9% with a simultaneous decline in breakeven inflation
expectations, which indicated tighter monetary conditions. However, inflation expectations of
households and businesses edged up, which
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yet demonstrated downward trends.
Inflation expectations of households and businesses continued to rise. Analysts’ short-term inflation expectations increased. Nevertheless, long-term inflation expectations calculated based on
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only when inflation is low. When inflation is high, such loans, including mortgages, are expensive for most borrowers as their cost includes the inflation component.
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yet demonstrated downward trends.
Inflation expectations of households and businesses continued to rise. Analysts’ short-term inflation expectations increased. Nevertheless, long-term inflation expectations calculated based on
August, including in the
underlying components of inflation. A further rise was seen in household and business
inflation expectations. At the same time, there were
phenomenon.
Inflation worldwide. Both advanced economies and EMEs recorded a downward trend in inflation since
early 2023. In the second half of the year, inflation