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INFLATION BY GROUP OF GOODS AND SERVICES Table 8
(PP)
Fruit and Inflation over Non-core
Food products Non-food goods Services Core inflation
vegetables period, % inflation
82
16.07.2025
Annual inflation declines for third consecutive month
16 July 2025
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In June, annual inflation was down to 9.4%. Monthly
83
15.07.2025
and was close to the target for inflation in annual terms. Businesses and households reported a decline in inflation expectations, with business costs decelerating. However,
inflation expectations (in Russia)? What does
such diversity imply for the inflation dynamic (in Russia)?
There is an extensive literature on studying heterogeneity of inflation
85
10.07.2025
overestimate future inflation and are highly reactive to short-term inflation spikes—indicating that their expectations are weakly anchored. Firms also tend to overestimate inflation, though
2025
Expected inflation (one year) Expected inflation (one year), three-month average
Expected inflation (five years) Observed inflation
Observed inflation, three-month average Annual inflation
Sources: InFOM,
87
25.06.2025
Inflation expectations go down but remain elevated
25 June 2025
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In June 2025, estimated inflation expected by households in a
INFLATION BY GROUP OF GOODS AND SERVICES Table 8
(PP)
Fruit and Inflation over Non-core
Food products Non-food goods Services Core inflation
vegetables period, % inflation
89
18.06.2025
Annual inflation also continued to decrease in May, but was still considerably above the target. The Bank of Russia is determined to bring inflation back
policy in turn impacts inflation expectations. Achieving the inflation target and maintaining
inflation at a consistently low level help anchor inflation expectations and reduce their