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further on.
In November 2019, annual inflation
DISTRIBUTION OF GOODS AND SERVICE PRICE Chart 1
GROWTH, INFLATION AND CORE INFLATION decelerated again, to 3.5
422
18.12.2019
Non-monetary Inflation Factors in 2017–2019', analysis of the role of non-monetary factors is as important as ever.
Over the period under review, inflation and
423
16.12.2019
Inflation slows again in November
16 December 2019
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Supply in food markets expanded, bringing down inflation further to 3.5
observed and expected inflation
Expected inflation
estimates were below the current figures.
Observed inflation
The estimates of observed and expected
Annual inflation
inflation went down
425
03.12.2019
Households’ inflation expectations drop to May 2018 low
Households’ inflation expectations went down to 8.3% in November as compared to 8.6% in October,
PRICE Chart 1
by 0.1%. Annual inflation slowed down to 3.8% GROWTH, INFLATION AND CORE INFLATION
(-0.2 pp as compared to September,
427
14.11.2019
Fast decline of food inflation continues in October
14 November 2019
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In October, annual inflation slowed down to 3.8
428
06.11.2019
Bank of Russia policy helps anchor inflation close to 4%
6 November 2019
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Inflation will anchor close to 4% after
and
Expected inflation annual growth (Chart 4 of the Report). At the
Observed inflation
Annual inflation same time, the estimates of future inflation
relative to
type of model specification.
Instead of forecasting inflation levels, inflation surprises (the deviance between inflation
level and inflation forecast) can be predicted. Phillips–curve dependence