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Inflation
Core inflation Underlying inflation services was accompanied by rising annualised
Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations.
price growth rates from low levels. Food inflation
402
09.09.2020
Monetary policy helps keep inflation close to target
9 September 2020
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In August, despite accelerating inflation, inflationary pressure, adjusted for
the inflation calculation. As of year-end 2021, inflation will equal 3.5–4.0%, subsequently stabilising
close to 4.0%.
LEADING INFLATION INDICATORS AND INFLATION
404
26.08.2020
Russia’s information and analytical commentary ‘Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment’, businesses and financial market participants slightly increased their inflation expectations, while analysts’ forecasts for
inflation became more symmetric, while
regions with higher inflation were still producing
0.3
a slightly heavier tail. The regional heterogeneity
0.2 of inflation
disinflationary influence of the overall decline
Median Inflation in demand. Furthermore, the acceleration of
Core inflation annual inflation was largely associated with the
base effect,
July 2020
Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment
1 No. 7 (43) July 2020
Inflation expectations
and consumer sentiment
(July 2020)
In July, inflation expectations changed
408
12.08.2020
Annual inflation rises to 3.37% in July while month-on-month growth declines
12 August 2020
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Price movements remained mixed in
409
27.07.2020
retailers and mining sector companies declined.
Implied inflation priced in OFZ-IN bonds stayed low throughout July. Analysts’ inflation forecast for 2020 and 2021 dropped below
2020
Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment
1 No. 6 (42) June 2020
Inflation expectations
and consumer sentiment
(June 2020)
June recorded a decrease in inflation