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inflation to a MIACR shock of 1 percentage point (p.p.) is ?0.74 p.p. For 77 out of 80 regions, the 5-year cumulative

The Bank of Russia increases the key rate by 50 b.p. to 5.50% p.a. On 11 June 2021, the Bank of Russia

4). Both the expectations index (+3.3 p) Present situation index and the present situation index (+2.9 p) posted Source: InFOM. growth (Charts 11

to 6.8% p.a. , and interest rates on household ruble deposits decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 4.2% p.a. As tight

20% granted in rubles from 1 April 2020 from 100 to 20-80 p.p. depending on the PTI ratio. 2 RUSSIAN MACRO UPDATE RUSSIAN MACRO

p.a. 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.2 – household loans % p.a. 10.1 10.6 10.2 10.2 – corporate loans % p.

generally equal 4.8–5.4% p.a. , 5.3–6.3% p.a. next year, and 5–6% p.a. in 2023, which is

ZCYC for a month, p.p., rhs Change in the ZCYC since the last BOD meeting (19.03.2021), p.p., rhs OFZ 1Y OFZ

A ccording to IHS Markit, Russian manufacturing PMI was steadily above 50 p in 2021 Q1, which indicates growth of business activity: 50.9 in