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the inflation calculation. As of year-end 2021, inflation will equal 3.5–4.0%, subsequently stabilising
close to 4.0%.
LEADING INFLATION INDICATORS AND INFLATION
392
26.08.2020
Russia’s information and analytical commentary ‘Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment’, businesses and financial market participants slightly increased their inflation expectations, while analysts’ forecasts for
inflation became more symmetric, while
regions with higher inflation were still producing
0.3
a slightly heavier tail. The regional heterogeneity
0.2 of inflation
disinflationary influence of the overall decline
Median Inflation in demand. Furthermore, the acceleration of
Core inflation annual inflation was largely associated with the
base effect,
July 2020
Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment
1 No. 7 (43) July 2020
Inflation expectations
and consumer sentiment
(July 2020)
In July, inflation expectations changed
396
12.08.2020
Annual inflation rises to 3.37% in July while month-on-month growth declines
12 August 2020
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Price movements remained mixed in
397
27.07.2020
retailers and mining sector companies declined.
Implied inflation priced in OFZ-IN bonds stayed low throughout July. Analysts’ inflation forecast for 2020 and 2021 dropped below
2020
Inflation expectations and consumer sentiment
1 No. 6 (42) June 2020
Inflation expectations
and consumer sentiment
(June 2020)
June recorded a decrease in inflation
percentiles 25–75 percentiles Annual inflation indicators reflecting the main
Median Inflation
price trends demonstrate that the effect of
Core inflation
one-off factors and the
400
25.06.2020
Inflation expectations trend down in June
25 June 2020
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Inflation expectations of both households and businesses continued to lower in