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1). The increase Expected inflation in inflation expectations was facilitated by the Observed inflation ruble depreciation and acceleration in prices Annual inflation for certain goods

inFOM surveys commissioned by the Bank of Russia, estimates of inflation observed by households and inflation estimates for a year ahead continued to grow in

producer prices 10-90 percentiles 25-75 percentiles Median Inflation for non-food consumer products, even amid the Core inflation Underlying inflation weakening ruble (Chart 4). Sources: Rosstat,

Food production growth constrains inflation in Russian regions 15 October 2020 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In September, annual inflation in the Russian regions stayed

food inflation slightly increased due to the base effect. According to the Bank of Russia’s forecast, given the current monetary policy stance, annual inflation

above its August reading (Chart 1). Expected inflation Observed inflation The estimates of inflation expected and Annual inflation observed by respondents without savings Sources: InFOM,

medium-term inflation forecast remained below 4%. Further details are available in the new issue of the Bank of Russia’s information and analytical commentary ‘Inflation

Inflation Core inflation Underlying inflation services was accompanied by rising annualised Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. price growth rates from low levels. Food inflation

Monetary policy helps keep inflation close to target 9 September 2020 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In August, despite accelerating inflation, inflationary pressure, adjusted for

the inflation calculation. As of year-end 2021, inflation will equal 3.5–4.0%, subsequently stabilising close to 4.0%. LEADING INFLATION INDICATORS AND INFLATION