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inflation -4,2700 <0,01 Figures 14-19. Residuals 1.) Lasso а) inflation expectations b) perceived inflation 2.) Random Forest а) inflation expectations b) perceived inflation

Effects of the fiscal rule and model assumptions on the response of inflation in the aftermath of a terms-of-trade shock M. Andreyev Does a stabilisation

April 2018 for implied inflation. ** The average of the percentiles of households’ inflation expectations (total), companies’ price expectations (economy, overall); implied inflation for OFZ-IN until

Inflation expectations remain elevated 31 January 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In January 2023, household inflation expectations declined yet remained at an elevated level.

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Inflation, MoM (SA, right-hand scale) Inflation Core inflation Underlying inflation Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. 1

Inflation in Russian regions changes diversely in December 23 January 2023 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram Annual inflation slowed down in 39 of 89 Russian

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Expected inflation Observed inflation Annual inflation Sources: InFOM, Rosstat. 2 More information about inflation in November is available in the

Do social media posts help predict inflation and how do exchange rate regimes influence financial stability: New issue of Russian Journal of Money and Finance

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Inflation, MoM (SA, right-hand scale) Inflation Core inflation Underlying inflation Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. Consumer

Inflation expectations remain high 21 December 2022 News Share VKontakte WhatsApp Telegram In December 2022, households’ inflation expectations edged down, but still remained high. In