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for inflation in Russia _______________________________________________________ 11 1.1.3. Inflation expectations in March: the drop has not been persistent ______________ 14 1.1.4. Underlying inflation is

4 1.1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 4 1.1.1. Inflation is moving closer to its optimal path _________________________________ 4 1.1.2. Underlying inflation in October: the

actual inflation was gradually moving closer to underlying inflation, and for January it even turned out lower. The long-term inflation component, which underlying inflation captures,

underlying inflation estimates should go down gradually. However, if the increased inflation risks materialise, the underlying inflation slowdown will be much slower, retaining inflation at

path; however, food inflation begins to accelerate May saw inflation flatten; however, accelerated food inflation and slower non-food inflation were seen. Inflation is currently on

in February 2017 should not prevent it from delivering on its 4% inflation target by late 2017. 2) The floating exchange rate regime will hold,

the Bank of Russia’s website. of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate, derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical, biological and (or) Individual Indicators

is established as a formula with variables (except for interest rates and inflation rate). For the purpose of this decision a rating notch means its

in inflation and inflation expectations. In its decision-making the Bank of Russia will assess inflation risks and the alignment of key economic indicators, including inflation,

2017 (Table 1). Considering low key rate increase. According to Bloomberg data, inflation and weak economic growth, the leading the probability of the Fed’s