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2121
28.02.2017
on consumer loans, the economy was shifting towards structural liquidity surplus and inflation slowed down. The 2016 Q4 data suggest that credit institutions did not
Inflation _________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.1. Temporary factors held back price growth to the level consistent with the inflation
target ___________________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.2. Underlying inflation
the Bank of Russia’s website. of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate, derivatives’
prices, official statistical information, physical, biological and (or)
Individual Indicators
2124
15.02.2017
aware, inflation for 2016 was record low at 5.4%, while annualised inflation for January slowed down to 5%. Our plans envision for inflation to
2125
15.02.2017
aware, inflation for 2016 was record low at 5.4%, while annualised inflation for January slowed down to 5%. Our plans envision for inflation to
2126
13.02.2017
more prolonged period of moderately tight monetary policy. Thus, growth of the inflation expectations was limited and they remained at the level seen in December
2127
10.02.2017
high.
Inflation continues to decline in line with the Bank of Russia’s forecast, as this is partially attributed to Ruble appreciation. Analysts’ inflation forecasts
RUSSIA
11
PRESENTATION FOR INVESTORS
Inflation is Slowing Down in Line with the Bank of Russia’s Forecast
Inflation, % (YoY) Inflation, % (MoM SA)
25 25
2129
03.02.2017
and become sustainable.
Inflation risks. Risks remain that inflation will be above the target level of 4% in 2017; having said that, inflation risks are
inflation, tapered
off. As a result, inflation pressure was somewhat up, seasonality factored in, while annual
inflation settled around 7.3% YoY. To put inflation