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in demand could be in part driven by the expected surge in inflation in early 2019 on the back of the VAT rate hike. Preview

what their reasons behind such estimates are, and whether they believe that inflation will stabilise around 4%. The regulator uses the dynamics of price expectations

Turkey and in Argentina, high inflation and high inflation expectations aggravated the negative tendencies on the financial markets (in 2018, inflation reached 45.9% YoY

perceived inflation Figure 9. Inflation expectations over a three-year and household inflation expectations horizon 5 Perceived inflation Not sure Significantly below 4% a year Inflation

effect of risk premium shocks and oil price ones on inflation. Since we set inflation in steady state at 4%, the model shows that rates

even after the monetary policy in Russia transited from exchange rate to inflation targeting. This finding suggests that a free floating regime does not attenuate

2017 2018 Observed inflation Expected inflation CPI Source: LLC “inFOM” RUSSIAN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MONETARY POLICY 6 Inflation expectations - firms Short-term inflation expectations of firms

price movements. In macroeconomics, texts are analyzed to forecast the fluctuations of inflation, economic growth, and unemployment. That said, text mining in the economic area

conduct operations with foreign currency. rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate, derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical, Individual Indicators Highlights biological and

effect of this year’s weakening in the ruble on inflation, and its effect on inflation expectations. It means that the uncertainty over price movements