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will cause a slight acceleration in
Amid the consistent slowdown in inflation, inflation
annual inflation and bring it closer to 4% without
expectations continued to
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of inflation in the last year dropped further, hitting fresh historical lows.
As inflation becomes increasingly anchored at 4%, conditions will emerge for households’ inflation
interest rates, % Figure 6. Household inflation
expectations, %
7
RUONIA minus current inflation Observed inflation Expected inflation
RUONIA minus 12m ahead inflation forecast 30
6
28
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inflation). We are slowly becoming accustomed to low inflation. This is evidenced by recent surveys. In this way, there was no downward movement in inflation
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annual inflation indicators reflecting the most sustainable price movements are somewhat below 4%.
The slowdown of inflation was conducive to a decline in inflation expectations,
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15.12.2017
inflation). We are slowly becoming accustomed to low inflation. This is evidenced by recent surveys. In this way, there was no downward movement in inflation
for
actual household household Bloomberg actual household household Bloomberg
inflation inflation inflation consensus inflation inflation inflation consensus
expectations expectations forecast expectations expectations forecast
for the
conduct operations with foreign currency. rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Individual Indicators Highlights
biological and
meets the ultimate objective of the
monetary policy considering the assessment of inflation risks and economic growth prospects.
The Bank of Russia seeks to meet
and Eastern Europe in 1994–2010. The authors use GDP growth and
inflation rates as control macroeconomic variables; the work also includes an extensive pool