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could be in part driven
Investment activity by the expected surge in inflation in early 2019 on
the back of the VAT rate hike. All
7.50
– Reuters survey
(7.75) (7.75) (7.75)
3. Implied inflation rate (OFZ-IN) March 2019
4,89
– OFZ-IN-52001 (till 16 August 2023)
(4,
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26.04.2019
inflation will return to 4% in the first half of 2020.
In its key rate decision-making, the Bank of Russia will take into account inflation
annual inflation in February Difference
2018
2019
Contribution to Contribution to Contribution to
Price growth Price growth Price growth
inflation inflation inflation
Total inflation 1.
in inflation due to price changes by group Table 4
of goods and services, year-to-date
(percentage points)
Food1 Non-food Services Fruit Inflation for Core inflation
and constitutes an underlying asset.
rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Table 3.5
biological and
communications “Floating rate and
Inflation targeting is Instruments are Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting
midterm goal in
median household inflation expectations went down in February as perceived
inflation rose. Household long-term inflation expectations also improved marginally.
According to Rosstat data, inflation stood
Chart 5
nominal wage growth (see the Labour market
section) and temporary inflation acceleration. A
Growth on December 2015, % SA
considerable contraction was registered in
1860
29.03.2019
benchmarks.
In their paper, researches from Brazil assess exchange rate pass-through to inflation and its relationship to central bank credibility.
Rуbert Ambri?ko (CERGE-EI and