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CONTENTS
Executive summary ____________________________________________________ 3
1. Monthly summary ___________________________________________________ 5
1.1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 5
1.1.1. Inflation accelerates but remains low ______________________________________ 5
1.1.2. PMI
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that Russia has established a strong macroeconomic policy framework in recent years. Inflation targeting and a flexible exchange rate of the national currency received positive
declining short- and medium-term
interest rates, which reflects the trend of decreasing inflation expectations in 2017 Q4. At the same time,
higher oil prices led
conduct operations with foreign currency. rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Individual Indicators Highlights
biological and
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to regional information campaigns. Such transparency makes an integral part of the inflation targeting regime.
The Bank of Russia will continue to fine-tune its monetary
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That said, consumption growth remained moderate and in line with a gradual inflation increase to the 4% target.
Being caused by one-off factors, slower business
H. Mumtaz. 2017. ‘Financial conditions and density forecasts for US output and
inflation.’ Review of Economic Dynamics 24: 66–78.
Banbura, M., D. Giannone, and
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persons.
The return on investment of pension savings by NPFs was above inflation (2.5%) and in 2017 reached 4.6% before the remuneration of
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risks of inflation overshooting the target. At the same time uncertainty remains over the potential impact of the recent developments on inflation expectations. Inflation is
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but the trends of recent years have indeed been promising.
With declining inflation and dropping interest rates on banking products, retail investors are becoming increasingly