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in July and the If inflation continues to go down, inflation
strengthened market expectations of further expectations approach the actual inflation rate
monetary policy easing
in inflation due to price changes by group Table 4
of goods and services, year-to-date
(percentage points)
Food1 Non-food Services Fruit Inflation for Core inflation
communications “Floating rate and
Inflation targeting is Instruments are Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting
midterm goal in
Consumer prices
Inflation slowdown Inflation by main groups and core inflation,
is continuing. In June % change on corresponding month of previous year
inflation declined to
That could be explained by slower
Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations.
inflation after its temporary rise at the
beginning of the year caused by
1816
29.07.2019
exceeded the inflation rate in the same period. Moreover, returns of 27 NPFs accounting for nearly 80% of pension assets outstripped the inflation rate. Eight
1817
26.07.2019
decline. Households’ inflation expectations have not materially changed since April and remain elevated. Inflation slowdown paves the way for a future decline in inflation expectations.
communications “Floating rate and
Inflation targeting is Instruments are Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting
midterm goal in
a reduction in
global trade volumes and have a serious impact on inflation, consumer sentiment and ultimately
on global economic growth. Brexit can have a
7.25 7.25
– Reuters survey
(7.50) (7.25)
3. Implied inflation rate (OFZ-IN) June 2019
3.90
– OFZ-IN-52001 (until 16 August 2023)
(4.