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Consumer prices
Inflation slowdown Inflation by main groups and core inflation,
is continuing. In June % change on corresponding month of previous year
inflation declined to
That could be explained by slower
Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations.
inflation after its temporary rise at the
beginning of the year caused by
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exceeded the inflation rate in the same period. Moreover, returns of 27 NPFs accounting for nearly 80% of pension assets outstripped the inflation rate. Eight
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decline. Households’ inflation expectations have not materially changed since April and remain elevated. Inflation slowdown paves the way for a future decline in inflation expectations.
communications “Floating rate and
Inflation targeting is Instruments are Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting
midterm goal in
a reduction in
global trade volumes and have a serious impact on inflation, consumer sentiment and ultimately
on global economic growth. Brexit can have a
7.25 7.25
– Reuters survey
(7.50) (7.25)
3. Implied inflation rate (OFZ-IN) June 2019
3.90
– OFZ-IN-52001 (until 16 August 2023)
(4.
and constitutes an underlying asset.
rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Table 3.5
biological and
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domestic demand.
2
Households’ inflation expectations remain elevated
Household’s inflation expectations (inFOM surveys), observed inflation (inFOM surveys) and inflation, YoY
Inflation expectations show mixed
in inflation due to price changes by group Table 4
of goods and services, year-to-date
(percentage points)
Food1 Non-food Services Fruit Inflation for Core inflation