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effect of risk premium shocks and oil price ones on inflation. Since we set inflation in steady state at 4%, the model shows that rates

even after the monetary policy in Russia transited from exchange rate to inflation targeting. This finding suggests that a free floating regime does not attenuate

2017 2018 Observed inflation Expected inflation CPI Source: LLC “inFOM” RUSSIAN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MONETARY POLICY 6 Inflation expectations - firms Short-term inflation expectations of firms

price movements. In macroeconomics, texts are analyzed to forecast the fluctuations of inflation, economic growth, and unemployment. That said, text mining in the economic area

conduct operations with foreign currency. rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate, derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical, Individual Indicators Highlights biological and

effect of this year’s weakening in the ruble on inflation, and its effect on inflation expectations. It means that the uncertainty over price movements

of prices and inflation expectations to the upcoming VAT rate increase. The increase in the key rate will help prevent firm inflation anchoring at the

effect of this year's weakening in the ruble on inflation, and its effect on inflation expectations. It means that the uncertainty over price movements

inflation due to price changes by group of goods and services, year-to-date (percentage points) Food1 Non-food goods Services Fruit and Inflation for the Core inflation

inflation due to price changes by group of goods and services, year-to-date (percentage points) Food1 Non-food goods Services Fruit and Inflation for the Core inflation