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temporary proinflationary factors in the near future. This is suggested by stabilising inflation expectations and weekly consumer price indexes, as well as a decline in

confirmed by data on inflation and inflation expectations. Inflation is still affected by one-off pro-inflationary factors, due to which annual inflation accelerated from 2.5

sales of household appliances, which was driven by a temporary rise in inflation expectations on the back of the weaker ruble. Annual growth rates in

seasonally adjusted, % Line – annual inflation, % (rhs); thin line – 3MMA SAAR Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia’s estimates 7 Inflation expectations Inflation expectations of Replies of

in inflation 7.8 expectations of households and businesses. 6 4 2.3 2 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Observed inflation Expected inflation Annual inflation

a formula with variables (except for interest rates and the rate of inflation). 14. To use the following types of credit ratings by JSC Expert

the Bank of Russia’s forecast, given the monetary policy stance, annual inflation will reach 3.8-4.8% in 2020 and will stabilise around 4

reversal of inflation trends in the middle of the year. Monthly inflation in annualised terms will begin to go down, while annual inflation will still

barrel 64 27 35 45 Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 3.0 3.8-4.8 4.0 4.0 Inflation, average for the year, as

year. Annual inflation increased to 2.9%, which is still below the target. A stabilisation of or even a slight decrease in weekly inflation suggests