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Chart 2.7). Inflation sped up as well without
Median Core inflation
taking into account specific spikes in prices (for
Underlying inflation Inflation
Sources: Rosstat,
Instruments are Inflation 4.3% Inflation 3.0% Inflation 5.2%
Inflation targeting is “Floating rate and
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting by
Key rate expectations. In January, amid
The pandemic and related restrictions faster inflation and increased volatility in
intensified the volatility of liquidity factors. This financial
5
1. Inflation
Annual inflation accelerated to 4.9% in December, reaching an estimated 5.1% in mid-
January. The leading indicators of inflation, including
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4
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2
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Observed inflation Expected inflation Annual inflation
Inflation expectations of households have abated; however, they still remain
Securities are the Bank of Russia’s investments in the achieving the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank
debt securities of
MB MB n MB
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2020 100 33 11 12 15 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Dec20 4.9 4.7 4.
actual / estimate) 2021 2022 2023
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 4,9 3,7-4,2 4,0 4,0
Inflation, average for the year, as
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has increased its 2021 inflation forecast to 3.7–4.2%. Moving forward, given the current monetary policy stance, annual inflation will stay close to
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second factor is inflation. Annual inflation sped up to 5.2% in January, exceeding the Bank of Russia’s target. This elevated inflation rate largely