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in March.
down the OFZ yield curve by 5-20 bp depending
Foreign exchange rate. The ruble appreciated
on maturity.
against the US dollar by 1.
prices, the VIX indicator and the MIACR interbank interest rate.
11
We assumed that foreign exchange reserves would be replenished annually by an amount equivalent
O., Adler, G., de Carvalho Filho, I. (2015) ‘Can Foreign Exchange Intervention
Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks?’ IMF Working Paper
WP
Inflation targeting Active inflation Liquidity Transition deadline Key rate introduced Floating exchange
announced targeting management set rate introduced Dec. 2018
Dec. 2017
communications “Floating rate
47 47 ‘roughly 4% a year’ (Chart 9 of the Report).
Ruble exchange rate fluctuations 33 38 36 39 The distribution of replies to this
1566
08.05.2019
the Procedure for the Bank of Russia to Set and Publish Official Exchange Rates of Foreign Currencies Against the Ruble’ (becomes effective 10 days after
companies’
products held at the previous month level
and the effect of exchange rate and lending
condition drivers faded.
Investment activity
In March 2019, investment
other local investors. Taking into account
Foreign exchange rate. The ruble exchange operations in the secondary stock market,
rate rose against the US dollar by
1569
26.04.2019
might lead to strengthened volatility in global commodity and financial markets, affecting exchange rate and inflation expectations. Supply-side factors in the oil market may amplify
followinggas,Exchange
year. rate)OGR forec(Poil,Pgas,Exchange rate)
OGRadd =OGR forec(Poil,Pgas,Exchange rate)OGR base(BPoil,BP gas,Exchange rate)
Maximum