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through the FE? Then, why doesn’t the same logic apply
to inflation?
– Industrial growth may depend not only on financial depth
as such (proxied
separately for each income quintile. Income quintiles
are adjusted monthly for wage inflation. The dependent variables are the logarithm of volume of mortgage
issuance (Panel
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and accommodative monetary policies have spurred inflation.
Hence, many central banks now have to make tough choices since inflation threatens growth and people’s welfare
Instruments are Inflation 4.3% Inflation 3.0% Inflation 6.0%
Inflation targeting is “Floating rate and
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting by
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29.06.2021
of a mechanism changing inflation expectations through new data on actual inflation and thus provide a realistic representation of actual inflation expectations.
The new issue
1
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Observed inflation Expected inflation Annual inflation
During the recent months, inflation expectations of households have remained close to
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the model does not improve the forecast quality: the quality of the inflation forecast remains the same and the quality of the GDP forecast worsens.
the accel-
markets
eration of inflation. Currently, investors consid-
Federal government bonds. The OFZ yield er the acceleration in inflation as a temporary
curve rose
pdf
2 Methodology for CPI Seasonal Adjustment March 2020
underlying inflation estimates and modified core inflation estimates. These indicators are es-
sential for the Bank
stable inflation components. This will shape an even flatter
inflation deceleration trajectory, hampering an extensive scaling down of inflation expectations.
1.1. Annual inflation slowdown