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obligations of the Government of the Russian Federation, debt achieving the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank
obligations of other
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12.08.2021
the Bank of Russia was prepared to take decisive measures to bring inflation back to the target.
For the first time since February 2020, there
Instruments are Inflation 4.3% Inflation 3.0% Inflation 6.5%
Inflation targeting is “Floating rate and
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting by
6
4
2
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Observed inflation Expected inflation Annual inflation
Inflation expectations of households continue to grow, remaining close to
impact of steady inflation factors will be weakening gradually.
o In June, inflation rates and expectations were still elevated. Consequently, annual
inflation exceeded 6%. As
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23.07.2021
stance, annual inflation will edge down to 4.0-4.5% in 2022 and will remain close to 4% further on.
Inflation dynamics. Inflation is developing
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23.07.2021
the dependence of inflation in Russia on inflation in the USA? Should we expect inflation in Russia to be around 4% if inflation in the
continued confidence of investors that the Bank of Russia will ensure that inflation
remains at the target level in the long term.
• The return on
BASELINE
(actual) 2021 2022 2023
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 4.9 5.7-6.2 4.0-4.5 4.0
Inflation, average for the year,
labour and intersectoral
competition for employees boosted a rise in wages. Inflation and inflation expectations
remained elevated due to higher demand and costs. The worsening