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in 2024.
Inflation movements. Current consumer price growth rates remain low, contributing to a further slowdown in annual inflation. In June, annual inflation fell to
for
obligations of other issuers of the Russian Federation, credit achieving the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank
institutions’ promissory notes,
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last 20 years.
Annual inflation slowed down again (to 15.9%). The monetary policy stance will pave the way for inflation to go down to
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the Bank of Russia target. The monetary policy stance will help bring inflation back to 4% in 2024.
More details are presented in Talking Trends,
monetary policy amid
lower proinflationary risks (including slower inflation, a stronger ruble, and a decline in inflation
expectations).
5
The OIS (ROISfix) curve – indicative rates
2020 2021 2022
Average core inflation indicators Overall inflation
CPI Median (more than 500 components)
Inflation target
Inflation target
Trend inflation
Source: Rosstat, R&F
be region specific. Inflation
expectations are also not well anchored in Russia, and therefore any rise in inflation
usually leads to higher inflation expectations. The
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Moreover, we also show that monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation takes about one year but this effect is only temporary.
Monetary Policy
a result, post-pandemic global inflation has accelerated
even further, and the restrained response of leading central banks could lead to high inflation
becoming a chronic
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decreased as the Bank of Russia eased its monetary policy amid slower inflation, which was due to a stronger ruble, among other factors.
The exchange