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Implied inflation. In February, the monthly average implied inflation for OFZ-IN 52002 (2028)
increased to 6.74% (against 6.28% a month earlier). Implied inflation
MB
MB MB MB
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2023 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Jan 23 11.8 12.4
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in inflation of 2022 H2 will be removed from the calculation base. Given the monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Russia, annual inflation will
one-off inflation drivers sent
consumer prices higher and worked to keep inflation expectations of households and
businesses at an elevated level. Also, sustained inflation risks
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at 7.50% per annum.
Economic activity continues to expand. Inflation trends remain moderate. Households’ inflation expectations have decreased significantly, while staying elevated. External conditions
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of inflation, current price growth rates remain moderate.
Inflation expectations of households and price expectations of companies remain elevated. At the same time, inflation expectations
remains committed to the inflation-targeting regime, maintaining annual
inflation at around 4%.2 Low and stable inflation makes economic conditions generally more
predictable and provides
situation for achieving
Credits and deposits include credits, deposits, and repo the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
funds
up................................................................................................................................32
Inflation expectations remained elevated...........................................................................................................33
Inflation will stabilise close to 4% in 2024......................................................................................................... 34
Box 3. Specifics of changes in households’ inflation expectations
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notable impact of one-off factors, resulting in invariably elevated inflation expectations of households and businesses. Sustained inflation risks originated from the budget, the labour market