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Publications in selected peer-reviewed journals

Authors Title Journal
Afanasev K. The impact of income and inflation expectations on consumption: Evidence from a laboratory experiment Journal of the New Economic Association, 3(68), 43-51 (2025)
Andreev M. Deep consumer habits and fiscal policy shocks Studies on Russian Economic Development, 36(1), 53–65 (2025)
Antosik L., Tumanyants K., Belaya A. Labor shortage: A stimulus or a constraint on investment by Russian enterprises? Ekonomicheskaya Politika, 20(6), 36–67 (2025)
Arzhenovskiy S. The impact of household debt burden on consumption: New evidence Voprosy Ekonomiki, 12, 97-115 (2025)
Barabanova L., Arzhenovskiy S., Antosik L., Tumanyants K. Does the shadow sector affect the profitability of organisations: A regional perspective Financial Journal, 17 (5), 40–58 (2025)
Belyakov A., Kurbatskii A., Priimak I. The relationship between the dynamics of total factor productivity and the age structure in Russian regions Economy of Regions, 1, 116–135 (2025)
Bolyachin Yu., Solodovnikov S. The impact of monetary policy on investment dynamics across industries in the Russian economy Voprosy Statistiki, 32(4), 21-36 (2025)
Burova A., Deryugina E., Ivanova N., Morozov M., Turdyeva T. Transmission to a low-carbon economy and its implications for financial stability in Russia Emerging Markets Review, 66, 101345 (2025)
Darovskii I. Labor market responses to shocks in the Russian economy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 11, 79-101 (2025)
Drobyshevsky S., Perevyshin Yu., Sinelnikov-Murylev S., Trunin P. Reasons for accelerating inflation in the Russian economy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1, 5-31, (2025)
Eliseev A. Nowcasting Russian GDP in a mixed-frequency DSGE model with a panel of non-modelled variables Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 84(3), 63-93 (2025)
Festa Y., Penikas H. Confidence intervals for the model performance metrics under the imbalanced classification: Evaluating SMOTE’s impact on metrics’ reliability Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 20(3), 208–219 (2025)
Finagin M., Inogamova V., Gracheva A. Monetary conditions tightness indices for Russia Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 62-87 (2025)
Gabov M., Bukina T., Kashin D. Comparative analysis of regional inflation forecasting models. Journal of the New Economic Association, 4, 89-119 (2025)
Gornostaev D., Makhankova N., Milyutin P., Ponomarenko A., Seleznev S. Reconstruction the publication history of Russian’s GDP and its components HSE Economic Journal, 2, 279–305 (2025)
Grishchenko V., Gasanova D., Fomin E. Visible prices and their influence on inflation expectations of Russian households Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 74, 107–115 (2025)
Grishchenko V., Mihailov A., Tkachev V. The money multiplier and competing theories of money creation: empirical validation for Russia Cambridge Journal of Economics, 49(2), 343–383 (2025)
Gurov I., Yelitsur D., Zuev V., Krotova Y., Ostrovskaya E., Penikas H. Determinants of the inflation expectations’ uncertainty based on the all-Russian survey Voprosy Ekonomiki, 6, 63–93 (2025)
Ivanova N., Popova S., Styrin K. Bank market power and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from loan-level data Emerging Markets Review, 66, 101280 (2025)
Ivanova N., Styrin K. The effect of US monetary policy on Russian banks in a low-interest rate environment Emerging Markets Review, 65, 101232 (2025)
Kolyadenko P., Perevyshin Yu. Fiscal policy shocks and inflation in Russia Ekonomicheskaya Politika, 5, 252-281 (2025)
Koshkin A., Krylov D. Data from monitoring enterprises of the Bank of Russia as a factor in increasing the accuracy of inflation forecasts St. Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies, 41(3), 364-393 (2025)
Koval P., Polbin A., Sinelnikov-Murylev S. Estimation of household heterogeneous propensity to consume in the Russian Federation based on latent class model Post-Communist Economies, 37(7), 840-868 (2025)
Kryachko I., Penikas H. Identifying commodity groups at the intermediate level of aggregation to preserve maximum granularity in the output and trade data Voprosy Ekonomiki, 7, 113–121 (2025)
Kryachko I., Penikas H. U.S. foreign trade policy: Effects of tariff increases on prices and output in the global economy Russian Journal of Economics, 11(3), 269-284 (2025)
Kryzhanovskiy O., Mogilat A., Shuvalova Zh., Gvozdev D. Using LSTM neural networks for nowcasting and forecasting GVA of industrial sectors Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 1, 93-104 (2025)
Lymar M., Penikas H. Effectiveness of the micro- and macroprudential measures in 2014–22 in Russia Russian Journal of Economics, 11(2), 168–196 (2025)
Lysenko G. Macroeconomic factors of housing prices in Russia Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1, 92-114, (2025).
Matevosova A. Modelling trust in the Central Bank using sentiment analysis Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 1, 3-25 (2025)
Metel Yu., Kunitsyna N. Assessment of the impact of media news backgrounds on inflation in Russia Vestnik Moskovskogo Universiteta. Seriya 10. Zhurnalistika, 2, 3–32 (2025)
Nechitailo V., Penikas H. Agent-based modeling to benchmark macroprudential limits vs RW add-ons Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 20(1), 63–73 (2025)
Panteeva S., Arzhenovskiy S. Tumanyants K. Semi-structural model of economy of the southern macroregion of Russia Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 84(2), 65–88 (2025)
Penikas H. Limited efficiency of G-SIB capital regulation in curbing brown lending International Review of Financial Analysis, 105, 104320 (2025)
Penikas H. A minimum sample size definition for the purpose of loss provision extrapolation in the presence of default correlation  Journal of Credit Risk, 21(3), 1–25
Penikas H. Evaluating the effectiveness of the Basel III G-SIB capital cuffer regulation: experience from the 12 years of a quasi-natural experiment Quarterly Journal of Finance, 15(2), 2540004 (2025)
Penikas H., Stefanenko V. Intermediate effects on loan rates from the transition to a partner financing model: evidence from a triple differences estimation HSE Economic Journal, 2, 214–247 (2025)
Polbin A., Shumilov A. Nowcasting and forecasting Russian GDP and its components using quantile models Applied Econometrics, 79, 5-26 (2025)
Polekhina A., Guseva A. How the Bank of Russia is perceived on Telegram channels: Building an index using machine learning methods. Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 84(3), 28–62 (2025)
Pustovalova A., Magzhanov T., Mirzoyan A. Econometric estimation of the monetary policy effect on the debt burden at the industry level in Russia Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 4, 3-21 (2025)
Shulgin A., Novak A., Vikharev P. DSGE-model with three groups of households Journal of the New Economic Associatoin, 3(68), 78-111 (2025)
Simanovskiy A. Controversial issues of prudential banking regulation Voprosy Ekonomiki, 7, 122-142 (2025)
Sinyakov A., Shelovanova T. Demand for consumer loans in Russia: How strong is the interest rate channel of monetary policy? Russian Journal of Economics, 11(1), 47–75 (2025)
Starichkov M. Using wavelets to analyse the dynamics of inflation processes Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 1, 105-128 (2025)
Tereshchenko D., Shcherbakov V. Regional inflation and the age structure of the population: a view through the prism of a space-time approach Voprosy Ekonomiki, 4, 112-135 (2025)
Vasilyeva G., Tatarinov A., Ivanov R. A detailed presentation of the households sector in the SNA: microdata usage opportunities Voprosy Statistiki, 32(1), 13-26 (2025)
Vinogradova O., Bannikova V., Penikas H. Support measures as an additional driver of the market value of domestic banks Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 103–125 (2025)
Zverev I., Kislyak N. Estimating the output gap of the Russian economy: A multivariate approach based on BVAR and Beverige-Nelson filter Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 84(4), 22-46 (2025)
Zvereva V. Monetary policy transmission mechanism: The role of household heterogeneity and spatial effects Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 3, 3-27 (2025)
Authors Title Journal
Andreev A., Grishchenko V., Lymar M., Orlov D., Shubin I. Factors in the Formation of Inflation Expectations as Recorded in the Russian National Survey of Consumer Finance Economic Policy, 19(5), pp. 54-83 (2024). (In Russ.)
Andreev M., Peiris M., Shirobokov A., Tsomocos D. Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies Annals of Finance, 20, pp. 167-197 (2024)
Anikeev K. The Heterogeneous Banking System Under a Negative Interest Rate Policy Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(2), pp. 77-91 (2024)
Arzhenovskiy S. Forecasting GDP Dynamics Based on the Bank of Russia’s Enterprise Monitoring Data Financial Journal, 16(1), pp. 31-44 (2024). (In Russ.)
Arzhenovskiy S. Statistical Analysis of Ineqality and Poverty with Under-Reporting Incomes of Russian Households Voprosy statistiki, 31(2), pp. 39-51 (2024). (In Russ.)
Arzhenovskiy S., Panteeva S. Household savings through the prism of behavioral characteristics Applied Econometrics, 75, pp. 98-116 (2024). (In Russ.)
Bessonova E., Gonchar K. How regional courts in Russia affected multinational decisions on affiliate size, entry and organization Applied Econometrics, 74, pp. 51-77 (2024)
Bobrovskaya E., Polbin A., Fokin N. Hedonic Price Indices for Moscow Short-Term Rental Housing Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(1), pp. 77-103 (2024)
Burova A., Ponomarenko A., Reentovich A. External Adjustment in Commodity Exporting Economies During Energy Price Downturns The International Trade Journal, 38 (6), pp. 547-562 (2024)
Deryugina E., Leonidov A., Ponomarenko A. A., Radionov S., Vasilieva E. Network structure of the economy and the propagation of monetary shocks: The case of Russia Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 71, pp. 315-319 (2024)
Emre Çekin S., Ivashchenko S., Gupta R., Chien-Chiang Lee Real-time forecast of DSGE models with time-varying volatility in GARCH form International Review of Financial Analysis, 93(C) (2024)
Finagin M., Sheremeta S. Forecasting Non-Oil&Gas Revenues in the Russian Budget Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(4), pp. 76-97 (2024)
Grishchenko V., Ponomarenko A., Seleznev S. A feasible approach to projecting household demand for the digital ruble in Russia Borsa Istanbul Review, 24 (4), pp. 643-662 (2024)
Inozemtsev E., Krotova Yu. Phillips curve with spatial effects based on Russian regional data Journal of the New Economic Association, 63(2), pp. 35-56 (2024). (In Russ.)
Katrosha D. The influence of regional factors on inflation: a case study of the Murmansk region Journal “Sever i Rynok: Formirovanie Ekonomiceskogo Poradka” [The North and the Market: Forming the Economic Order], 4, pp. 25-41 (2024). (In Russ.)
Kirichenko P., Arzhenovskiy S. Building a Rating of Russian Regions According to their Level of Financial Market Development Economy of Regions, 20(4), pp. 1327-1339 (2024). (In Russ.)
Kotlikoff L., Kubler F., Polbin A., Scheidegger S. Can today’s and tomorrow’s world uniformly gain from carbon taxation? European Economic Review, 168, 104819 (2024)
Kramkov V., Maksimov A. Monetary surprises and term structure of interest rates: Identification through heteroscedasticity Applied Econometrics, 74 (2), pp. 5-34 (2024). (In Russ.)
Kunitsyna N., Metel Y. Modeling the influence of social factors on the dynamics of gray wages Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo Universiteta. Ekonomika, 40(3), pp. 460-482 (2024). (In Russ.)
Lepekhin O. Convergence of Regional Food Inflation in Russia Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(3), pp. 3-22 (2024)
Lyakhnova M., Kolenko Y.  Nowcasting the Output Gap in Russia Using Enterprise Monitoring Data Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(2), pp. 26-53 (2024)
Lymar M., Reentovich A., Sinyakov A. A commodity exporting economy under financial and trade restrictions: Aggregate and structural changes. Russian Journal of Economics, 10(2), pp. 103-129 (2024)
Meshcheryakov A., Sukhomlinov A. Considerations regarding inflation target levels Journal of the New Economic Association, 62(1), pp. 246-254 (2024). (In Russ.)
Mogilat A., Kryzhanovskiy O., Shuvalova Zh., Murashov Y.  DYFARUS: Dynamic Factor Model to Forecast GDP by Output Using Input-Output Tables Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(2), pp. 3-25 (2024)
Penikas H. Theoretical model of macroprudential add-ons to risk-weights for foreign-currency denominated loans Voprosy Ekonomiki, 12, pp. 69-85 (2024). (In Russ.)
Penikas H. I., Vasilyeva Е. Redefining the degree of industry greenness using input—output tables International Review of Economics and Finance, 89(A), 1073-1090 (2024)
Penikas H., Stefanenko V. Reform of capital adequacy regulation in the world Islamic banking market Voprosy Ekonomiki, 8, pp. 89-110 (2024). (In Russ.)
Savchenko I., Butakova M., Markov L., Lyakhnova M., Erushina O., Gartvich R., Yakovina M., Shcherbakov V. Quarterly Projection Model for the Siberian Macroregion Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(4), pp. 48-75 (2024)
Shcherbakov V., Karpov I. Regional Inflation Analysis Using Social Network Data Economy of Regions, 20(3), pp. 930-946 (2024)
Simanovskiy A.Y. The concept of banking capital risk-sensitivity revisited Voprosy Ekonomiki, 3, 27-42 (2024). (In Russ.)
Zvereva V., Demidova O., Korshunov D., Myasnikov A.  Impact of Intraregional Income Inequality on the Operation of the Bank of Russia’s Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 83(1), pp. 3-31 (2024)
Authors Title Journal
Andreyev M.Y., Polbin A.V. Macroeconomic effects of the expected future decline in oil revenues for the Russian economy under capital control. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023; (4):5-28. (In Russ.)
Arzhenovsky S.V. Inflation and income inequality: Relationship research in the regional aspect. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023;(4):151-160.
Arzhenovsky S.V. Estimate of shadow economy dynamics in Russia and regions: the inflationary aspect Applied Econometrics, 2023, v. 69, pp. 121–140.
Bedin A., Kulikov A., Polbin A. Copula-Based Modelling of Relationship Between Dollar/Rouble Exchange Rate and Oil Prices Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(3), pp. 87-109 (2023)
Bessonova E.V., Tsvetkova A.N. Russian households’ finances during the pandemic. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023; (8):123-146. (In Russ.)
Eliseev A., Novak A., Shulgin A. Long-Term Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Prices Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(2), pp. 21-51 (2023)
Moiseev S.R.  The house that Keynes built: Redecorating and overhaul of the monetary policy model Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023-07-10| journal article, pages 35-49.
Moiseev S.R.  Monetary aggregation: Concept, critics and modern alternatives Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023-01-03| journal article, pages 26-44.
Penikas H. Smoothing the Key Rate Pass-Through: What to Keep in Mind When Interpreting Econometric Estimates Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(3), pp. 3-34 (2023)
Penikas H. I., Vasilyeva Е. Measuring climate-credit risk relationship using world input-output tables Russian Journal of Economics, 9(1), 93-108 (2023)
Penikas H.I. Retail loan pricing determinants in Russia. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023; (6):36-61. (In Russ.)
Penikas, H. Unaccounted model risk for Basel IRB models deemed acceptable by conventional validation criteria Risk Management, 25 (4), 1-30 (2023)
Penikas, H. Non-compliance to Benford distribution as the portfolio default rate determinant in online retail lending Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 18(2), 125-134 (2023)
Penikas, H. IRB Asset and Default Correlation: Rationale for the Macroprudential Mark-Ups to the IRB Risk-Weights Risk Management, 25(1), 1-27 (2023)
Penikas, H., Skarednova, A., Surkov, M. How do Investors Prefer for Banks to Transition to Basel Internal Models: Mandatorily or Voluntarily? Quarterly Journal of Finance, 2340002 (2023)
Petaykina A. Estimation of Sensitivity of Russian Household Consumption to Permanent and Transitory Income Shocks Using Kalman Filter Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(3), pp. 110-127 (2023)
Ponomarenko A. National Currencies in International Settlements: Main Mechanisms Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(3), pp. 35-47 (2023)
Ponomarenko, A., Tatarintsev, S. Incorporating financial development indicators into early warning systems. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 27(2023)
Ryzhikova T., Skuratova A. Bank of Russia Monetary Policy and Household Consumption Expenditure Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(1), pp. 3-31 (2023)
Semiturkin O., Shevelev A. Correct Comparison of Predictive Features of Machine Learning Models: The Case of Forecasting Inflation Rates in Siberia Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(1), pp. 87-103 (2023)
Tumanyants K., Arzhenovskiy S., Arkova O., Monastyryov M., Pichulina, I. Inequality and Economic Growth in Russia: Econometric Analysis Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 82(2), pp. 52-77 (2023)
Authors Title Journal
Andreyev M., Polbin A. Monetary Policy for a Resource-Rich Economy and the Zero Lower Bound Economic policy. 2022.  17, № 3, p. 1-30.
Bessonova E., Gonchar K.  Can the Growth of Competitive Pressure and Hardening of Budget Constraints Reduce the Efficiency Loss due to State Ownership? Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(3), pp. 22-53 (2022)
Bessonova, E. Firms’ efficiency, exits and government procurement contracts European Journal of Political Economy. 102253 (2022).
Burova A. Measuring the Debt Service Ratio in Russia: A Micro-Level Data Approach Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(3), pp. 72-88 (2022)
Burova, A., Ponomarenko, A., Popova, S., Sinyakov, A., & Ushakova, Y. Measuring Heterogeneity in Banks’ Interest Rate Setting in Russia Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 58(14), 4103-4119 (2022).
Deryugina, E., Guseva, M., Ponomarenko, A. The Credit Cycle and Measurement of the Natural Rate of Interest Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 1, pp. 87-104 (2022)
Gornostaev D., Ponomarenko A., Seleznev S., Sterkhova A.  A Real-Time Historical Database of Macroeconomic Indicators for Russia Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(1), pp. 88-103 (2022)
Ivashchenko S. Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Multiple Trends and Structural Breaks Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(1), pp. 46-72 (2022)
Khabibullin, R., & Ponomarenko, A. An empirical behavioral model of household’s deposit dollarization Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 17, 827–847 (2022)
Kozlovtceva, I., Penikas, H., Petreneva, E., & Ushakova, Y. Macroprudential policy efficiency in Russia: Assessment for the uncollateralized consumer loans Emerging Markets Review, 100910 (2022)
Kryzhanovsky O., Zykov A.  DEMUR: A Regional Semi-Structural Model of the Ural Macroregion Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(4), pp. 52-85 (2022)
Nelyubina A.  Monetary Policy Impact on Income Inequality in the Russian Regions Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(2), pp. 3-19 (2022)
Penikas H. Pass-Through of the Bank of Russia Key Rate into Deposit Rates Between 2020 and 2022 Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(2), pp. 20-48 (2022)
Penikas H. PD-LGD Correlation for the Banking Lending Segment: Empirical Evidence from Russia Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 17(1). P. 27-39 (2022)
Penikas H., Skarednova A., Surkov M., Festa Y. Automation of the Approach to Replicating Data When the Control Group Is Depleted in The Difference-In-Differences Method: Application to IRB Implementation Data Samples Procedia Computer Science. 199, pp. 231-237 (2022)
Simanovskiy A.Y. Risks. Senses. Capital. On the concept of banking capital risk-sensitivity Voprosy Ekonomiki, 6, 26-41 (2022). (In Russ.)
Zhemkov M. Assessment of Monthly GDP Growth Using Temporal Disaggregation Methods Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 81(2), pp. 79-104 (2022)
Authors Job title Publication
Bessonova E. & Tsvetkova A. Do productivity laggards ever catch up with leaders? Review of Income and Wealth, https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12539
Borzykh, D., & Penikas, H. IRB PD model accuracy validation in the presence of default correlation: a twin confidence interval approach. Risk Management, 23, 282–300 (2021).
Burova A., Penikas H., Popova S.  Probability of Default Model to Estimate Ex Ante Credit Risk Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(3), pp. 49-72 (2021)
Burova, A., Kozlovtseva, I., Makhankova, N., Morozov, A. Dollarization, Financial Stability Risks and Monetary Policy Implementation: Exploring the Nexus Ensayos Económicos, 1(77), 50-71 (2021)
Bush, G., Gómez, T., Jara, A., Moreno, D., Styrin, K., & Ushakova, Y. Macroprudential policy and the inward transmission of monetary policy: The case of Chile, Mexico, and Russia. Review of International Economics, 29(1), 37-60 (2021).
Deryugina, E., & Ponomarenko, A. Explaining the lead—lag pattern in the money—inflation relationship: a microsimulation approach. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 31, 1113–1128 (2021)
Evstigneeva A., Sidorovskiy M. Assessment of Clarity of Bank of Russia Monetary Policy Communication by Neural Network Approach Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(3), pp. 3-33 (2021)
Merika A., Negkakis I., Penikas H. Stress-Testing and Credit Risk Revisited: A Shipping Sector Application International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, 4(12), 347-367 (2021)
Miroshnichenko D. Impact of Bank of Russia Macroprudential Policy on Risk Exposure of Banks’ Consumer Loan Portfolios Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(3), pp. 73-93 (2021)
Moiseev S.R. Uncharted waters: Investors get access to foreign exchange-traded funds Voprosy Ekonomiki, 11, 54-70 (2021). (In Russ.)
Nechitaylo V., Penikas H. Benchmarking Banking Regulation Regimes: Application for the CBDC Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 4(16), 261-272 (2021)
Nelyubina A. Forecasting Regional Indicators Based on the Quarterly Projection Model Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(2), pp. 50-75 (2021)
Penikas, H. Money multiplier under Basel capital ratio regulation: implications for counter-COVID-19 stimulus. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2021.1945348
Ponomarenko, A. Money creation and banks’ interest rate setting. Journal of Financial Economic Policy https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-10-2020-0214
Porshakov A., Turdyeva N., Chernyadyev D., Tsvetkova A., Movsesyan L. Data of Sectoral Financial Flows as a High-Frequency Indicator of Economic Activity Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(2), pp. 28-49 (2021)
Shevelev A., Kvaktun M., Virovets K. Effect of Monetary Policy on Investment in Russian Regions Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(4), pp. 31-49 (2021)
Shulgin A., Napalkov V., Novak A. Variations in the Effects of a Single Monetary Policy: The Case of Russian Regions Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 80(1), pp. 3-45 (2021)
Zhemkov, M. Nowcasting Russian GDP using forecast combination approach International Economics, 2021, 168, 10-24
Authors Job title Publication
Deryugina E, Ponomarenko A Disinflation and Reliability of Underlying Inflation Measures Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics. 2020, 12(1):91-111
Deryugina, E., Ponomarenko, A. and Rozhkova, A When are credit gap estimates reliable? Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020, 67, pp.221-238
Ermolova, M., Leonidov, A., Nechitailo, V., Penikas, H., Pilnik, N., Serebryannikova, E. Agent-based model of the Russian banking system: Calibration for maturity, interest rate spread, credit risk, and capital regulation Journal of Simulation, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2020.1774430
Karlova N.A., Puzanova E.V., Bogacheva I.V., and Morozov A.G. How are inflation expectations of enterprises formed: survey results Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2020, Vol. 31, No. 5, pp. 522-532
Khabibullin, R., Ponomarenko, A. and Seleznev, S. Forecasting the implications of foreign exchange reserve accumulation with a microsimulation model Journal of Simulation, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2020.1813641
Kiselev A., Zhivaykina A., The role of global relative price changes in international comovement of inflation The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2020, vol. 22(C)
Kozlovtceva, I., Ponomarenko, A., Sinyakov, A. and Tatarintsev, S.  A case for leaning against the wind in a commodity-exporting economy International Economics, 2020, 164, pp.86-114
Merikas A., Merika A., Penikas H. I., Surkov M. The Basel II Internal Ratings Based (IRB) Model and the Transition Impact on the Listed Greek Banks.  The Journal of Economic Asymmetries. 2020. Vol.22. No e00183. doi:/10.1016/j.jeca.2020.e00183
Moiseev S.R. The “black box” of the interest rate channel of monetary policy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 5-21 (2020). (In Russ.)
Moiseev S.R. Consequences of interest rates benchmarks reform Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1, 93-110 (2020). (In Russ.)
Penikas H. Low Default Portfolios in Basel II and Basel III as a Special Case of Significantly Unbalanced Classes in Binary Choice Models Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 79(2), pp. 101-128 (2020)
Penikas H. History of the World Largest Credit Risk Losses in 1972–2018 The HSE Economic Journal, 2020, vol. 24(1), pages 9-27
Penikas H. History of the Basel Internal-Ratings-Based (IRB) Credit Risk Regulation, Model Assisted Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 2020, vol. 15(1), pages 81-98
Penikas H. The Review of the Open Challenges in the IRB Loan Portfolio Credit Risk Modeling Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 2020, vol. 18(4), pages 1-18
Ponomarenko A. A note on observational equivalence of micro assumptions on macro level. Economics-The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2020, 14, pp.1-15
Ponomarenko A., Sinyakov A., Turdyeva N., Popova S., Chernyadyev D. Assessing the Consequences of the Pandemic for the Russian Economy Through an Input-Output Model Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 79 (4), pp. 3-17 (2020)
Styrin K., Khotulev I. Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for Financial Stability in a Commodity-Exporting Economy Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 79(2), pp. 3-42 (2020)
Styrin K., Ushakova Y.  IBRN Initiative on Interactions of Monetary and Prudential Policies Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 79(3), pp. 58-74 (2020)
Turdyeva N.  Effects of Terms of Trade Shocks on the Russian Economy Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 79(2), pp. 43-69 (2020)
Authors Job Title Publication
Andreev M., Peiris U., Shirobokov A., Tsomocos D. Macroprudential Policy and Financial (In)Stability Analysis in the Russian Federation Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 78(3), pp. 3-37 (2019)
Bessonova E., Gonchar K. How the innovation-competition link is shaped by technology distance in a high-barrier catch-up economy Technovation, Volumes 86–87, 2019, P. 15-32, ISSN 0166-4972, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2019.01.002
Deryugina E., Ponomarenko A.  Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 78(2), pp. 28-42 (2019)
Fokin N., Polbin A.  Forecasting Russia's Key Macroeconomic Indicators with the VAR-LASSO Model Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 78(2), pp. 67-93 (2019)
Lipin A., Knobel A., Malokostov A., Tarr D., Turdyeva N. Deep Integration in the Eurasian Economic Union: What are the Benefits of Successful Implementation or Wider Liberalization? Eurasian Geography and Economics 60(2), 177-210, 2019
Moiseev S.R. Hype around (non)monetary (non)theory Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 112-122 (2019). (In Russ.)
Ponomarenko A. Do sterilized foreign exchange interventions create money? Journal of Asian Economics, 2019, vol. 62(C), pages 1-16
Sinyakov A., Porshakov A. Estimates of the Equilibrium Interest Rate for Russia: Is ‘Navigating by the Stars’ Useful? Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 78(4), pp. 3-47 (2019)
Styrin K. Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 78(1), pp. 3-18 (2019)
Authors Job Title Publication
Deryugina, E., N. Karlova, A. Ponomarenko.and A. Tsvetkova The role of regional and sectoral factors in Russian inflation developments Economic Сhange and Restructuring. 2018,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-018-9232-y
Kreptsev D., Seleznev S. Forecasting for the Russian Economy Using Small-Scale DSGE Models Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(2), pp. 51-67 (2018)
Moiseev S.R. The behavioral economics of monetary policy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 5, 139-150 (2018). (In Russ.)
Moiseev S.R. Monetarism’s „renaissance”: How the well-known theorylived in 2000-2018 Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1, 26-55 (2018). (In Russ.)
Morozov A.  Reflections on Reflections from the Russia’s Mirror Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(1), pp. 124-126 (2018)
Ponomarenko A., Sinyakov A.  Impact of Banking Supervision on Banking System Structure: Conclusion from Agent-Based Modelling Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(1), pp. 26-50 (2018)
Ponomarenko, A. A. and A. N. Ponomarenko What do aggregate saving rates (not) show? Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 12 (2018-13): 1–19
Shulgin A. Sterilized Interventions in the Form of Foreign Currency Repos: VECM Analysis Using Russian Data Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(2), pp. 68-80 (2018)
Simanovskiy A.Y. On the issue of crypto‑currency economic nature Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 132-142 (2018). (In Russ.)
Styrin K. A Multi-Country Study of Cross-Border Transmission of Monetary Policy by IBRN Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(2), pp. 81-94 (2018)
Ushakova Y., Kruglova A. Competition in Russia’s Banking Sector Prior and After Supervision Police Enhancement: Conclusions Based on Interest Rate Dispersion and Spread Russian Journal of Money and Finance, 77(2), pp. 22-50 (2018)
Vlasov S., Deryugina E. Fiscal Multipliers in Russia Journal of the New economic Association, No. 2(38), P. 83-95
Yudaeva K.  Frontiers of Monetary Policy: Global Trends and Russian Inflation Targeting Practices Russian Journal of Money and Finance, v. 77(2), pp. 95-100 (2018)
Authors Job Title Publication
Deryugina, E., Ponomarenko, A., Sinyakov, A. and C. Sorokin Evaluating underlying inflation measures for Russia. Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2017.1301511
Moiseev S.R. The odyssey of inflation targeting: To new challenges of monetary policy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 10, 50-70 (2017). (In Russ.)
Moiseev S.R. Private central banks Voprosy Ekonomiki, 7, 24-41 (2017). (In Russ.)
Ponomarenko, A. A note on money creation in emerging market economies Journal of Financial Economic Policy 9(1)
Popova S., Karlova N., Ponomarenko A., Deryugina E. Analysis of the debt burden in Russian economy sectors Russian Journal of Economics, 3(4), pp.379-410
Authors Job Title Publication
Deryugina, E., Ponomarenko, A. Money-based underlying inflation measure for Russia: a structural dynamic factor model approach Empirical Economics DOI 10.1007/s00181-016-1125-1
Krupkina, A., Ponomarenko, A. Deposit dollarization in emerging markets: modeling the hysteresis effect Journal of Economics and Finance DOI 10.1007/s12197-016-9379-1
Mamedli, M. O. Analysis of Government Expenditure Multiplier Under Zero Lower Bound: The Role of Public Investment The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Volume 14, Nov. 2016, pp. 103— 111
Moiseev S.R. Adventures of the optimum currency areas theory Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2, 56-76 (2016). (In Russ.)
Moiseev S.R., Pantina I.V. Real exchange rate targeting Voprosy Ekonomiki, 5, 44-65 (2016). (In Russ.)
Sokolov V. Machinery-Building Clusters and Transnational Corporations World Eсonomy and International Relations, 60(8), 51-60 (2016). (In Russ.)
Authors Job Title Publication
Deryugina, E. Ponomarenko A. Accounting for Post-Crisis Macroeconomic Developments in Russia: A Large Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model Approach Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 51(6), 1261 — 1275 (2015)
Krupkina A., Deryugina E., Ponomarenko A. Estimating sustainable output growth in emerging market economies Comparative Economic Studies, 57(1), 168-182
Authors Job Title Publication
Ponomarenko A., Vasilieva E., Schobert F. Feedback to the ECB’s monetary analysis: the Bank of Russia’s experience with some key tools Journal of Banking and Financial Economics 2(2), 116–150
Yudaeva K.V. On the Opportunities, Targets and Mechanisms of Monetary Policy under the Current Conditions Voprosy Ekonomiki, 9, 4-12 (2014). (In Russ.)
Authors Job Title Publication
Ponomarenko A. Early warning indicators for asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets Emerging Markets Review 15, 92–106
Ponomarenko A., Solovyeva A., Vasilieva E. Financial dollarization in Russia: causes and consequences Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 6:2, 221-243
Authors Job Title Publication
Ivanova N.S., Yudaeva K.V. Russian Banks: How to Cope With Dead Calm Journal of the New Economic Association, 5(5), 152-156 (2010). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K.V. On the Exchange Rate Policy Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1, 21-28 (2010). (In Russ.)
Authors Title Journal
Gref F.O., Yudaeva K.V. Russian Banking System under Conditions of Global Crisis Voprosy Ekonomiki, 7, 4-14 (2009). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K., Godunova M. Lessons of Crisis for Russia: Macroeconomic Policy Ekonomicheskaya Politika, 6, 30-41 (2009). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K., Godunova M., Kozlov K., Ivanova N. Exit strategies from the banking crisis: international experience Ekonomicheskaya Politika, 3, 98-149 (2009). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K.V., Kozlov K.K. Factors behind the Worldwide Declines in GDP and Industrial Output under the Crisis of 2008 Journal of the New Economic Association, 1-2, 236-239 (2009). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K., Raskosnov M., Krachilov A. Recapitalization of bank sector Ekonomicheskaya Politika, 4, 84-90 (2009). (In Russ.)
Authors Title Journal
Ulyukaev A.V., Danilova E.O. Russian Banking Sector under World Financial Market Uncertainty: Problems and Prospects Voprosy Ekonomiki, 3, 4-19 (2008). (In Russ.)
Yudaeva K.V., Yasin Y.G. Strategy-2050: Can Russia Deal with Challenges of Globalization? Voprosy Ekonomiki, 5, 4-21 (2008). (In Russ.)
Authors Title Journal
Goriaev A.P., Zabotkin A.B. Risks of investing in the Russian stock market: Lessons of the first decade   Emerging Markets Review, 7(4), 380-397 (2006)
Volchkova N.A., Lobanov S.N., Turdyeva N.A., Khaleeva J.V., Yudaeva K.V. Microsimulation Analysis of the Consequences of Monetization of Social Benefits in Russia Applied Econometrics, 4(4), 105-134 (2006). (In Russ.)
Authors Title Journal
Kozlov K.K., Sokolov D.G., Yudaeva K. V. Innovation Activities of Russian Enterprises Higher School of Economics Economic Journal, 8(3), 399-419 (2004). (In Russ.)
Authors Title Journal
Yudaeva K.V., Kozlov K. K., Melentieva N., Ponomareva N. Does foreign ownership matter? The Economics of Transition, 11(3), 383-409 (2003)
Department responsible for publication: Research and Forecasting Department
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Last updated on: 05.02.2026