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2025 2026 2027
(actual)
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 7.4 8.0-8.5 4.5-5.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the
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25.10.2024
the current high inflation. Short-term inflation expectations of analysts and long-term expectations calculated based on financial market instruments increased as well. High inflation expectations enhance
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
went up to 9.0–11.5%, while breakeven inflation continued to go down.
Simultaneously, households’ inflation expectations lowered but remained at historical highs. High
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16.10.2024
target of close to 4%. Companies’ price expectations went up, whereas households’ inflation expectations were down, while remaining elevated.
More details are available in the
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16.10.2024
underlying inflation rose month-on-month.
High inflation is driven by strong domestic demand, which grows faster than the output of goods and services. For inflation to
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15.10.2024
high.
To put the economy on a sustainable disinflationary path and bring inflation back to target, tight monetary conditions will have to be maintained for
and personal developments (Bjuggren and Elert, 2019). For example, women
have higher inflation expectations than men (Armantier et al., 2013). This can lead to suboptimal
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09.10.2024
Monetary conditions tighten in September
9 October 2024
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Nominal and real interest rates increased in most financial market segments. Inflation
of
inflation to the target in 2025.
• The situation with inflation expectations continues to deteriorate
(except for lower breakeven inflation for OFZ-IN). More adaptive inflation