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into consideration when making
decisions on monetary policy to analyse and forecast inflation, identify the key
trends in economic development across Russia in general and
we may expect them to rise with the
pace of inflation. The predicted cumulative inflation is above 40%. If the bank does not upward revise
MB
MB MB MB
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2023 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Oct23 6.7 6.7 6.
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between the official inflation reading and peoples’ estimate of inflation, observed inflation. Beyond observed inflation, we monitor the expected inflation indicator for inflation 12 months
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growth in recent months.
Households’ inflation expectations and businesses’ price expectations have increased. Analysts’ inflation expectations remain above the inflation target in 2024 but are
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
to help
gradually slow inflation processes over the next few months and quarters. At the same
time, given the high unanchored inflation expectations in the
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12.12.2023
Competition for Undergraduate&Graduate Students and PhD Fellows-2019
Competition
6 July 2018
Inflation: New Insights for Central Banks
Conference
20 November 2017
Macroeconomic Models for
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08.12.2023
short-term money market rates were growing, evidencing monetary tightening. However, higher household inflation expectations contributed to monetary easing.
The growth rates of monetary aggregates remained
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05.12.2023
several segments. This is set to bring about a gradual slowdown in inflation processes over the next few months and quarters.
More details are presented