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higher market rates constrain demand and inflation, while lower
ones stimulate them. In addition to monetary policy and demand, inflation and financial market
trends are
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
latest surveys, both households’
inflation expectations and businesses’ price expectations were still substantially above the values of
2017–2019 when inflation was close to the
re-
turn inflation to target, tight monetary conditions need to be maintained for a long time.
Moreover, unless current price growth and inflation expectations return
875
07.06.2024
April.
Inflation expectations of households and financial market participants went up. Businesses’ price expectations remained unchanged. Elevated inflation expectations increase the inertia of underlying inflation.
has maxi-
mal sensitiveness of inflation too. “Manufacturing” is second most sensitive inflation (it is pre-
sented as top by inflation).
SECTOR-SPECIFIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND
877
07.06.2024
higher than in 2017, 2018, and 2019, when inflation was 4%. Inflation expectations will decline as inflation moves back to 4%. This will work to
878
07.06.2024
Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) model with 16 industries (16 growth rates, 16 inflations), and the interest rate. The results demonstrate that the suggested technique can
879
07.06.2024
April.
Inflation expectations of households and financial market participants went up. Businesses’ price expectations remained unchanged. Elevated inflation expectations increase the inertia of underlying inflation.
into consideration when making
decisions on monetary policy to analyse and forecast inflation, identify the key
trends in economic development across Russia in general and