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781
21.05.2025
bring inflation back to 4% in 2026. Further key rate decisions will depend on the pace and sustainability of the decrease in inflation and inflation
points of the discussion.
CONTENTS
ECONOMIC SITUATION AND INFLATION ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2
MONETARY CONDITIONS .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 5
EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 7
INFLATION RISKS 9
................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
CONCLUSIONS FOR MONETARY POLICY
AND THE
s assessment for 2024.
Core inflation (Core PCE) in the US.
Core inflation (Core HICP) in the euro area.
Core inflation (Core CPI) in China.
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rate.
Households’ and businesses’ inflation expectations generally remained high and hampered disinflation. In April, companies’ price expectations decreased somewhat. Breakeven inflation for inflation-indexed federal government
in the domestic market rises.
Aiming to tame inflation and stabilise the economy, the central bank’s inflation targeting
regime responds by raising the nominal
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
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as of the end of the month.
Despite the signs of an inflation slowdown, prices for federal government bonds (OFZ) slightly decreased in April, with
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Indicators of monetary conditions change diversely in March–April
14 May 2025
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Inflation expectations of households and businesses remained elevated.
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12.05.2025
will depend on the speed and sustainability of the decline in inflation and inflation expectations.
The discussants concurred that the Russian economy was generally developing
a stronger ruble. The monthly inflation rate (seasonally adjusted annualised rate, SAAR)
was considerably above 4%, as before. Household inflation expectations in March and companies