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values seen in 2017–2019 when inflation was close to the
target (Chart 10).
The average three-month ahead inflation rate expected by businesses remained virtually
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link in the chain of economic relations through which monetary policy influences inflation. This applies primarily to banks with significant market power. Usually, the value
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23.06.2025
decrease inflation, while maintaining high interest rates in the economy. We forecast that annual inflation will return to 4% in 2026.
More details on inflation
Chart 1). Changes in inflation expectations were mixed:
inflation expectations of businesses declined, while those of households increased slightly. Breakeven
inflation went down; real interest
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the decrease in inflation and inflation expectations. The Bank of Russia will maintain monetary conditions as restrictive as necessary for returning inflation to the target
decrease in food inflation. In addition, non-food inflation
was also below 4% in annualised terms. Services inflation slightly sped up.
Amid slowing inflation, price trends
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
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10.06.2025
Indicators of monetary tightness change diversely in April–May
10 June 2025
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Trends in nominal interest rates were mixed. Inflation
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09.06.2025
Index fell by 3.1% as of the end of May. As inflation decelerated and the market expected the key rate to decline, OFZ and
pace of
reduction in inflation and inflation expectations as well as by the balance of risks to achiev-
ing the inflation target in 2026.
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