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inflation
Inflation % YoY Jan25 9.9 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.4 10.1 9.2
Core inflation % YoY
into consideration when making
decisions on monetary policy to analyse and forecast inflation, identify the key trends
in economic development across Russia in general and
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without provoking a further acceleration of inflation and depreciation of the ruble,’ Elvira Nabiullina stated.
A gradual return of inflation to the target will give
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year’s inflation, the Bank of Russia’s inflation target, the inflation target and the success of achieving it in the pre-pandemic period, inflation expectations
the inflation targeting regime, with the objective of monetary policy
staying the same – keeping annual inflation close to 4%.2 Low and stable inflation makes
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only the inflation forecast but also the risk that inflation might exceed the predicted rate. A situation where the risk of high inflation is more
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return of inflation back to 4% in 2026. The regulator will continue analysing the rate and sustainability of the decrease in inflation and inflation expectations.
higher market rates constrain demand and inflation, while lower ones
stimulate them. In addition to monetary policy and demand, inflation and financial market trends are
inflation expectations of households and businesses
were considerably above the 2017–2019 levels when inflation was close to 4%.
The discussants concurred that elevated inflation
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and sustainability of the decline in inflation and inflation expectations. If disinflation dynamics do not ensure achieving the inflation target, the Bank of Russia will