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671
20.01.2026
money and bond markets were mainly declining in December. Household and business inflation expectations were still increasing, while market expectations were decreasing.
Interest rates on
period, inflation expectations generally increased. A considerable
rise was observed in businesses’ price expectations, while households’
inflation expectations went up less notably. Analysts’ inflation estimates
673
19.01.2026
period, inflation expectations generally increased. A considerable rise was observed in businesses’ price expectations, while households’ inflation expectations went up less notably. Analysts’ inflation estimates
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
services inflation is higher than goods inflation (Ferrara, 2019). This work will attempt
to model the different dynamics of inflation trends. Thus, the inflation trends
676
16.01.2026
aggregate demand and inflation. It is shown that the slope of the Phillips curve becomes significantly steeper, i.e., the sensitivity of inflation to economic
explain interest rates. Relatedly, exp increases. This shifts
weight to shorter-term inflation expectations. Shorter-term inflation is more volatile. The model
compensates for lower data volatility.
period. It is one of the most important indicators that
describes the inflation processes in economy.
Economically active population – persons at the age of 15
to firm j receive main_bankjkt = 0.
4. Characteristics of macroeconomic conditions.
• Inflation, measured as the percent change in the seasonally adjusted consumer price index
into consideration when making decisions
on monetary policy to analyse and forecast inflation, identify the key trends in economic
development across Russia in general and