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661
27.06.2025
measures of inflation expectations comprehensively. Taking into account all the indicators, inflation expectations rather decreased, albeit remaining elevated. For a sustainable return of inflation to
financial crisis
of 2007–2009. Before the crisis, macroeconomic stability (sustainably low inflation and a balanced
budget) and resilient financial institutions were considered sufficient to
values seen in 2017–2019 when inflation was close to the
target (Chart 10).
The average three-month ahead inflation rate expected by businesses remained virtually
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25.06.2025
link in the chain of economic relations through which monetary policy influences inflation. This applies primarily to banks with significant market power. Usually, the value
665
23.06.2025
decrease inflation, while maintaining high interest rates in the economy. We forecast that annual inflation will return to 4% in 2026.
More details on inflation
Chart 1). Changes in inflation expectations were mixed:
inflation expectations of businesses declined, while those of households increased slightly. Breakeven
inflation went down; real interest
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20.06.2025
the decrease in inflation and inflation expectations. The Bank of Russia will maintain monetary conditions as restrictive as necessary for returning inflation to the target
decrease in food inflation. In addition, non-food inflation
was also below 4% in annualised terms. Services inflation slightly sped up.
Amid slowing inflation, price trends
given the situation for achieving
Foreign currency-denominated assets and precious metals the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
mainly
670
10.06.2025
Indicators of monetary tightness change diversely in April–May
10 June 2025
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Trends in nominal interest rates were mixed. Inflation