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imply higher systemic risks, including a materialisation of a
contagion effect in the banking sector. If a borrower takes out a variable-rate loan and the
2362
23.04.2021
a further driver of volatility growth in global financial markets.
Disinflationary risks for the baseline scenario remain moderate. Opening up the borders concurrently with a
2363
19.03.2021
pressure call for a return to neutral monetary policy. The Bank of Russia will continue to determine the timeline and pace of a return to
2364
12.02.2021
well as a tightening of restrictive measures. Persistent changes in consumer preferences and behaviour, including a persistent higher propensity to save, and a slower recovery
of g_A']
0 = - g_A/g_A_ss_par + (g_A(-1)/g_A_ss_par)^rho_g_A*exp(e_g_A);
[name
2366
18.12.2020
Persistent changes in consumer preferences and behaviour including a persistent higher propensity to save might exert a constraining influence on inflation.
Uncertainty remains as to
b \
ft+4 + (A + I )t , (5)
where
• f = AB+IB is the new bank matching probability: matching frictions
A+I
• A + I denotes unknown
DETERMINANTS OF THE
CREDIT CYCLE: A FLOW
ANALYSIS OF THE
EXTENSIVE MARGIN
Discussion by
Tatyana Grishina
Alexey Ponomarenko
October 8, 2020
Moscow, Russia (Online)
The
2369
23.10.2020
Persistent changes in consumer preferences and behaviour, including a persistent higher propensity to save, might exert a constraining influence on inflation.
Short-term proinflationary risks are
2370
01.10.2020
Volumes of dubious transactions in banking sector decline by a third in 2020 H1
1 October 2020
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Volumes of transactions