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1951
15.02.2017
aware, inflation for 2016 was record low at 5.4%, while annualised inflation for January slowed down to 5%. Our plans envision for inflation to
1952
15.02.2017
aware, inflation for 2016 was record low at 5.4%, while annualised inflation for January slowed down to 5%. Our plans envision for inflation to
1953
13.02.2017
more prolonged period of moderately tight monetary policy. Thus, growth of the inflation expectations was limited and they remained at the level seen in December
1954
10.02.2017
high.
Inflation continues to decline in line with the Bank of Russia’s forecast, as this is partially attributed to Ruble appreciation. Analysts’ inflation forecasts
RUSSIA
11
PRESENTATION FOR INVESTORS
Inflation is Slowing Down in Line with the Bank of Russia’s Forecast
Inflation, % (YoY) Inflation, % (MoM SA)
25 25
1956
03.02.2017
and become sustainable.
Inflation risks. Risks remain that inflation will be above the target level of 4% in 2017; having said that, inflation risks are
inflation, tapered
off. As a result, inflation pressure was somewhat up, seasonality factored in, while annual
inflation settled around 7.3% YoY. To put inflation
for
inflation in Russia _______________________________________________________ 11
1.1.3. Inflation expectations in March: the drop has not been persistent ______________ 14
1.1.4. Underlying inflation is
4
1.1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.1. Inflation is moving closer to its optimal path _________________________________ 4
1.1.2. Underlying inflation in October: the
actual inflation was gradually moving closer to underlying
inflation, and for January it even turned out lower. The long-term inflation component,
which underlying inflation captures,