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CONTENTS ___________________________________________________________ 2
1.1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 3
1.1.1. In August, inflation demonstrated a significant slowdown ______________________ 3
1.1.2. Underlying inflation slowed down yet
year-on-year inflation consistently
above 4% throughout the first half of 2018 and also cause second-round effects via rising
inflation expectations.
1.1.1. Inflation in
1. Inflation ________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.1. Seasonally adjusted price growth accelerated, but stayed within the forecast range
of inflation. _______________________________________________________________ 4
1.1.2. Underlying inflation
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2017.
Moderately tight monetary policy will create the necessary conditions for anchoring inflation at about 4% and will not hamper further economic growth. The Bank
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recognised the following factors.
Inflation dynamics. Annual inflation holds close to 4%. Estimates as of 23 October 2017 indicate that annual inflation is 2.7
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May 2017. The share of people who correctly understand the notions of ‘inflation’ and ‘risk diversification’ remained practically unchanged, at 37% and 25.6% respectively.
means its average volume of assets for the past year, adjusted for inflation for the purpose of
interannual comparisons.
Working Paper Series EFFECT OF BANKING
magnified inflation expectations facilitates
the accumulation of vulnerabilities in the consumer lending segment, posing risks to financial
stability and requiring macroprudential policy adjustment. Magnified inflation
conduct operations with foreign currency. rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Individual Indicators Highlights
biological and
Core inflation Consumer prices Administered prices
* Bank of Russia estimate.
inflation is associated with a lower rise in prices of con- had been weaker. Inflation