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Dec. 2018
Inflation targeting is communications “Floating rate and
Instruments are
represented as a Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
developed, the inflation targeting by
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01.11.2019
money detected in the banking system;
• Consumer Price Dynamics;
• Monetary Policy Report;
• Inflation Expectations and Consumer Sentiment;
• Consumer Price Indices;
• Commentary ‘Russia’s Balance of
the previous year 2019.
Unemployment rate, % SA (right-hand scale)
7
inFOM studies Inflation Expectations and Consumer
Sentiment as Measured Based on Household Surveys
Sources: Rosstat,
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current and expected demand.
As was reported earlier, the slowdown of inflation drove households’ inflation expectations downwards (8.6% as compared to 8.9% in
63 55 50 50
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 4.3 3.2-3.7 3.5-4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the
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25.10.2019
inflation expectations continued to decrease, while remaining elevated. Business price expectations slightly lowered. Annual inflation slowdown paves the way for a future decline in inflation
factors in
inflation deceleration.
Overall, changes in the trend inflation estimates imply that inflationary pressure continues
on a level close to the inflation target.
Pro-inflationary
which
the corresponding rise in demand for foreign is explained by slower inflation and weak
currency in the FX swap segment. economic activity.
THE EXPECTED
prices, a subsequent depreciation of the rouble with a corresponding increase in inflation.
EFFECTS OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS ON THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY OCTOBER 2019
and constitutes an underlying asset.
rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Table 3.5
biological and