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1721
29.10.2019
current and expected demand.
As was reported earlier, the slowdown of inflation drove households’ inflation expectations downwards (8.6% as compared to 8.9% in
63 55 50 50
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 4.3 3.2-3.7 3.5-4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the
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inflation expectations continued to decrease, while remaining elevated. Business price expectations slightly lowered. Annual inflation slowdown paves the way for a future decline in inflation
factors in
inflation deceleration.
Overall, changes in the trend inflation estimates imply that inflationary pressure continues
on a level close to the inflation target.
Pro-inflationary
which
the corresponding rise in demand for foreign is explained by slower inflation and weak
currency in the FX swap segment. economic activity.
THE EXPECTED
prices, a subsequent depreciation of the rouble with a corresponding increase in inflation.
EFFECTS OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS ON THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY OCTOBER 2019
and constitutes an underlying asset.
rate of a respective currency, interest rates, inflation rate,
derivatives’ prices, official statistical information, physical,
Table 3.5
biological and
works that apply a similar methodology for macroeconomic problems.
Jochmann (2015) models inflation using hierarchical Dirichlet processes, and Song (2014)
concentrates on real interest rates.
in inflation due to price changes by group Table 5
of goods and services, year-to-date
(percentage points)
Food1 Non-food Services Fruit Inflation for Core inflation
Dec. 2018
Inflation targeting is communications “Floating rate and
Instruments are
represented as a Inflation below 4% Inflation 4.3%
developed, the inflation targeting by