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stable inflation components. This will shape an even flatter
inflation deceleration trajectory, hampering an extensive scaling down of inflation expectations.
1.1. Annual inflation slowdown
for
obligations of the Government of the Russian Federation, debt achieving the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank
obligations of other
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low inflation, specifically 3% as of the beginning of the year. Furthermore, the average rate over the four years after we had switched to inflation
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15 June 2021
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In May 2021, annual inflation increased to 6.0%.
The growth rates in consumer prices (seasonally adjusted
на ежемесячной основе16 . Однако в данной работе используется
показатель базовой инфляции (core inflation), который также рассчитывается
Росстатом и охватывает большинство наименований (415 позиций или 70
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response functions of core inflation in Russian regions to monetary policy shocks. The average 5-year cumulative response of regional core inflation to a MIACR shock
in monthly seasonally
production lines in the food industry. Increased adjusted inflation. Nonetheless, inflation
external demand led to the expansion of sales remains elevated on
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of the so-called ‘cost inflation’ from ‘demand inflation’ is how it influences the physical volumes of consumption. In case of ‘cost inflation’, that is, supply
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on.
Inflation dynamics. Inflation is developing above the Bank of Russia’s forecast. In May, seasonally adjusted consumer price growth accelerated significantly, with annual inflation
demand had a more significant
impact on inflation expectations. This also spurred households’ demand
for stock market instruments (inflation started to trend upwards, deposit
rates