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period. It is one of the most important indicators that
describes the inflation processes in economy.
Economically active population – persons at the age that is
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29.09.2023
quarter, and a wider spread of corporate bonds, as well as higher inflation and changes in money market rates.
Preview photo: Pedal to the Stock
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27.09.2023
сentral banks raise key interest rates as the main instrument to curb inflation. However, it is common in academic literature to note the lack of
No. 6 (65) / September 2023
Table 1. Inflation and its components Figure 1. Price rises corresponding to an inflation
rate of 4%, % MoM
July July
trillion provided for by the updated annual borrowing plan.
Implied inflation.8 Average implied inflation for OFZ-IN 52002 (2028) edged up again in August
to
FD FD
FD FD
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2023 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Jul23 4.3 4.7 4.
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their value remained high.
Annual inflation will continue to rise in the coming months. According to the forecast, annual inflation will be 6.0–7.
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15.09.2023
elevated inflation expectations that are reducing the tightness of monetary conditions. Borrowers compare credit rates with their inflation expectations. Those assuming that high inflation will
2024 2025 2026
(actual)
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 11.9 6.0-7.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the year,
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annual inflation will return to 4% in 2024 and stay close to 4% further on.
Inflation movements. As estimated as of 11 September, annual inflation