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expansion of the loan portfolios of overindebted
households. The macroeconomic impact on inflation and GDP will be limited. Initially, the MPLs
will restrict the flow
Republic
20 September 16-20, 2023
Web Scraping as a Tool for Real-Time
Inflation Assessment by the Central Bank of Armenia
Using R Software .................................................................................................................................................. 39
Central
Implied inflation. In February, the monthly average implied inflation for OFZ-IN 52002 (2028)
increased to 6.74% (against 6.28% a month earlier). Implied inflation
MB
MB MB MB
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2023 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Jan 23 11.8 12.4
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in inflation of 2022 H2 will be removed from the calculation base. Given the monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Russia, annual inflation will
one-off inflation drivers sent
consumer prices higher and worked to keep inflation expectations of households and
businesses at an elevated level. Also, sustained inflation risks
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at 7.50% per annum.
Economic activity continues to expand. Inflation trends remain moderate. Households’ inflation expectations have decreased significantly, while staying elevated. External conditions
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17.03.2023
of inflation, current price growth rates remain moderate.
Inflation expectations of households and price expectations of companies remain elevated. At the same time, inflation expectations
remains committed to the inflation-targeting regime, maintaining annual
inflation at around 4%.2 Low and stable inflation makes economic conditions generally more
predictable and provides
situation for achieving
Credits and deposits include credits, deposits, and repo the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank of Russia
funds