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than Expected Inflation (YoY), % Actual and projected inflation (end of quarter, YoY), % 18 16 12 12 14 12 10 8 8 8 6 4 4

18 1.04.18 1.05.18 1.06.18 1.02.17 1.03.18 1.04.18 1.05.18 1.06.18

80 Latest figures Tightening Expectations Long-term deposit rate: 8.3% (Jul 2016) 18 18 Long-term loan rate: 13.0% (Jul 2016) 60 60 Interbank rate:

GDP overall constraining, despite 20 4 some easing in 2H 2019. 18.5 18 In January 2020 fiscal policy 17.1 2 continued to support

1.01.18 1.02.17 1.03.18 1.11.17 1.12.17 1.01.18 1.02.17 1.03.18 Loans

18 Financial account (except reserve assets) -67 -7 -7 -19 -18 General government and central bank -9 11 6 3 3 Private sector** -58 -18

since deposits, % per annum in rubles, % per annum the last Board meeting. 18 18 This was driven by the change in expectations 15 15 of

on the Official Journal of the Bank of Russia No. 40 (1518) - 18 April 2014 Information Letter No. IN-06-28/111 dated 15 July 2020 "Information

17 Dec.17 Jan.18 Feb.18 Mar.18 Apr.18 May.18 Jun.18 Jul.18 Aug.18 Sep.18 Annual inflation, % All goods

1.02.18 1.03.18 1.05.18 1.06.18 1.08.18 1.09.18 1.11.18 1.12.18 1.